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Severe WX Severe Weather Threat 3/14-3/16

As a lurker who is using this place to aggregate information and follow the various storm reports closely - the cycle of wishcasting and downplaying certain elements of this setup, only to be consistently proven wrong when the setup produces destructive storms/tornadoes despite that, is tiresome.

Better to assume anything can happen on a day like this than not.
 
TheLongShot said:
As a lurker who is using this place to aggregate information and follow the various storm reports closely - the cycle of wishcasting and downplaying certain elements of this setup, only to be consistently proven wrong when the setup produces destructive storms/tornadoes despite that, is tiresome.

Better to assume anything can happen on a day like this than not.
Click to expand...
i'm not wishcasting. i'm looking at the thermodynamic profiles and the current radar trends and don't happen to think a high risk is warranted in places like jasper, hamilton, double springs, and cullman.

of course anything CAN happen, but i would have shaved the high risk down. it hasn't verified north of interstate 20 in mississippi, and i don't anticipate it verifying along the US-278 corridor in Alabama.

i'm not saying there is no risk and the event is over or a Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency; a moderate risk is still VERY significant and i'm of the opinion that woud have been sufficient.
 
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