Severe WX Severe Weather Threat 3/14-3/16

[atrainguy]

 

[Brice W]

If there is anything on the ground it is about to go over Wardell where IL, MO, KY, AR meet.

 

[brianc33710]

Jason Simpson just did a live update and said some unnerving things. First time I don’t remember how long that there hasn’t been a failure mode yet and I don’t care for it

I'm listening right now. It's sad. I agree. I added that the SPC has enlarged the Day 1 High Risk area on his post.

 

[Kds86z]

If there is anything on the ground it is about yk go over Wardell where IL, MO, KY, AR meet.

Oh hey stranger lol @Brice W and happy birthday

 

[Brice W]

Thank ya! It is actually Sunday to be exact. But whatever is at Wardell is going right over town. Hopefully there’s no CC drop leaving it.

 

[Shakespeare 2016]

Thank ya! It is actually Sunday to be exact. But whatever is at Wardell is going right over town. Hopefully there’s no CC drop leaving it.

Happy 19th Birthday!!!

 

[Bulkshear]

I agree. With the moderate risk creeping into southern Middle TN, I'm hoping that isn't a sign of things potentially getting worse in my backyard in East TN.

It is unfortunately. I am in middle TN. Your threat will be diminished in regards significant tornadoes but you need to monitor this closely

 

[Brice W]

Tail end Charlie of the line is getting rapidly better organized.

 

[VolRunner393]

Thank ya! It is actually Sunday to be exact. But whatever is at Wardell is going right over town. Hopefully there’s no CC drop leaving it.

Happy birthday! I hope you have a fantastic and safe day!

 

[cincywx]

Mesoscale Discussion 0191
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0109 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

Areas affected...Western OH into central/southern IN and central KY

Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely

Valid 150609Z - 150745Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...Broken band of severe storms will spread east of the
current tornado watches, with the potential for a new watch by 07z
from western OH into southern IN and central KY.

DISCUSSION...A broken band of supercells with a history of tornadoes
and damaging winds will continue to spread eastward through the
early morning hours. 70-80 kt south-southwesterly flow in the
lowest 2 km AGL, sampled by regional VWPs, will support continued
moistening near and just above the surface, in advance of the
ongoing convection. Though buoyancy will be weaker with time and
eastward extent and storm mode should evolve into more line segments
and clusters, destabilization should remain sufficient for a threat
for wind damage and a few tornadoes. A new tornado watch will
likely need to be considered for areas from southern IN and western
OH into central KY by roughly 07z.

..Thompson/Smith.. 03/15/2025

To sleep or not to sleep...

 

[Brice W]

Uh oh…

 

[buckeye05]

Becoming increasingly concerned about the big Mississippi cell as it approaches Monroe County.

 

[Kds86z]

Becoming increasingly concerned about the big Mississippi cell as it approaches Monroe County.

Still pds on it, didn’t realize..

 

[cincywx]

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 41
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
235 AM EDT SAT MAR 15 2025

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN INDIANA
CENTRAL KENTUCKY
WESTERN OHIO

* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING FROM 235 AM UNTIL 1000 AM EDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75
MPH LIKELY
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...A BROKEN BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS
AND BOWING SEGMENTS WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE WATCH AREA DURING THE
OVERNIGHT INTO THE EARLY MORNING. DAMAGING GUSTS AND TORNADOES WILL
BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

right on cue, new tornado watch for the ohio river valley

 

[Brice W]

This thing has the potential to put something very significant following along the somewhat to 12/10

 

[Kds86z]

View attachment 35952
This thing has the potential to put something very significant following along the somewhat to 12/10

What state is that?

 

[Maxis_s]

Be on the lookout for this storm. Beginning to hook and has a nice inflow tail.

 

[MoonBaby]

Are all the Mississippi storms about to merge together? It seems they are going towards each other some

 

[Brice W]

What state is that?

My mistake, that won’t follow that track but this is in extreme southern IL.

 

[Kds86z]