Severe WX Severe Weather Threat 3/14-3/16

[jiharris0220]

 

[Tennie]

I'm just debating if I should try to go to bed soon, not knowing what we'll see overnight, so I can at least get some rest before tomorrow.

To be honest, I'm having similar concerns myself. This whole situation is insane, and not in a good way either.

 

[UK_EF4]

Eastern circulation has taken over. Likely to be very powerful, again, until the next cycle. Hopefully avoids populated areas. Seems shear is favoring cyclic cells.

 

[cg9450]

Tornadogeneis outside of STL, sure it's gonna drop on track to the city.

 

[treypops]

Take a look at the furthest south tornado warning headed for St Louis. Looks like a cc just formed. If you look from the KPAH radar it may confirm the cc drop

Ryan Hall was just showing this.

 

[AJS]

Screenshot of the Bakersfield tornado earlier.
View attachment 35796

It looks like Greenfield.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Tornado heading for Mount Olive Arkansas!

 

[CheeselandSkies]

FWIW, HRRR seems to suggest any storms that might have fired in LA into southwest/west-central MS will continue to struggle overnight. However, that might be a moot point with how many of these monster cells are developing further west in AR and tracking rapidly northeast. Furthermore, it might reduce the amount of stabilizing convective coverage over MS through tomorrow morning.

Edit: And there are still some small blips on the KDGX radar so it still might happen.

 

[Shakespeare 2016]

Screenshot of the Bakersfield tornado earlier.
View attachment 35796

That looks like a small wedge tornado. It looks very scary though.

 

[Maxis_s]

CC drop just blew up.

 

[N0mz]

Very wide tornado warning in university city

Life-threatening tornado warning in southern MO

 

[JPWX]

FWIW, HRRR seems to suggest any storms that might have fired in LA into southwest/west-central MS will continue to struggle overnight. However, that might be a moot point with how many of these monster cells are developing further west in AR and tracking rapidly northeast. Furthermore, it might reduce the amount of stabilizing convective coverage over MS through tomorrow morning.

That's what I'm afraid of. Tonight across southern portion of threat area was and still is highly conditional

 

[TheSuckZone]

Agreed and every new frame it looks to hook. Won’t be much longer I’m afraid and there will be a TDS with this one.

Yeah that has wrapped up in a hurry. Not looking good

 

[andyhb]

Multiple strong tornadoes in progress simultaneously right now, outbreak in progress. The ones in N AR and S MO in particular look intense.

 

[UK_EF4]

Tornado heading for Mount Olive Arkansas! View attachment 35801

I do think we could do with a PDS on that. Maintained a strong couplet and cc drop for a while and in a high STP environment.

 

[Western_KS_Wx]

Wow, this is absolutely not good. Significant tornado potential ramping up with this storm making a beeline for St. Louis.

 

[SmokeEater]

St Louis cell is wrapping up very fast.... Not good at all.

 

[Maxis_s]

Small CC drop on the storm south of STL!

 

[AJS]

Wow, this is absolutely not good. Significant tornado potential ramping up with this storm making a beeline for St. Louis.
View attachment 35806

It looks like it’s aiming directly for downtown. This needs a tornado emergency.

 

[Evan]

FWIW, HRRR seems to suggest any storms that might have fired in LA into southwest/west-central MS will continue to struggle overnight. However, that might be a moot point with how many of these monster cells are developing further west in AR and tracking rapidly northeast. Furthermore, it might reduce the amount of stabilizing convective coverage over MS through tomorrow morning.

Yep. Was just about to say something similar. Those storms that crossed the river never seemed to get going. Doesn’t seem like they can break through. Don’t know if I could handle having another area right now with rotating supercells.