Severe WX Severe Weather Threat 3/14-3/16

[Maxis_s]

Insane lightning on the Mountain Home storm.

 

[JPWX]

Umm..... We've got a 90 contour showing on the latest Significant Tornado Ingredients for Saturday

 

[treypops]

Rotating like a top, but doesn’t really look that good in reflectively. Kinda strange.

It's in a bit of a radar hole

 

[AJS]

Umm..... We've go a 90 contour showing on the latest Significant Tornado Ingredients for Saturday

What does this entail exactly? I’m still kinda an amateur.

 

[SmokeEater]

Umm..... We've go a 90 contour showing on the latest Significant Tornado Ingredients for Saturday

Centered over Tupelo.... Oof

 

[Clancy]

St. Louis staring down the convective barrel. Multiple TOR-warned storms moving east at high speed.

 

[AJS]

Centered over Tupelo.... Oof

Right smack in the center of it too. One thing I will say is that the runs have been very consistent with what has played out.

 

[treypops]

Centered over Tupelo.... Oof

 

[Western_KS_Wx]

Supercell north of Mountain Home Arkansas has a very large and intense mesocyclone on velocity. Significant tornado potential ramping up with this one.

 

[cg9450]

What does this entail exactly? I’m still kinda an amateur.

There are ensemble members that 90% of them agree, well, are screaming that the area is primed for significant tornadoes.

 

[Maxis_s]

Oh!

 

[AJS]

Very intense couplet evident on the radar now. Tornado either about to be in progress or in progress right now.

 

[Clancy]

Well, it's not surprising, but it's still terrifying. Much less early-day convection leaves room for aggressive destabilization.

 

[SilentShadow87]

The new hrr has big clearing for destabilization. Not good

I stand corrected. It sure seems like every possible limiting factor or failure mode is failing itself.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Very intense couplet evident on the radar now. Tornado either about to be in progress or in progress right now.

Yeah that's very gnarly, that could produce a significant tornado if it where to make it to the ground

 

[jiharris0220]

Very intense couplet evident on the radar now. Tornado either about to be in progress or in progress right now.

It’s likely been in progress for a bit now considering this is a radar hole and the beam is looking thousands of feet up.

 

[aujerm]

Yeah that's very gnarly, that could produce a significant tornado if it where to make it to the ground

Looks like there is a BWER on the storm near Salem.

 

[Muwx]

That middle storm headed for STL is looking mean

 

[UK_EF4]

Both of these supercells are starting to clear it inflow channels, evident on reflectivity, velocity and spectrum width. Got a bad feeling about this as they approach the STL metro. 430m2/s2 0-1km SRH per KLSX VAD.

 

[Cood101]

Now a 4TH WARNING on another separate cell south of the Previous 3 around Rolla.