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Severe WX Severe Weather Threat 3/14-3/16

Updated d1 outlook, greatly expanded 15% hatched tornado risk.


FWIW I'm still (barely) in the hatched area for wind, although the HRRR has been gradually downtrending in apparent intensity with the portion of the arcing line that makes it here around midnight. Still, wouldn't take a whole lot of convection to bring strong gusts to the surface.
 
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