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Severe WX Severe Weather Threat 3/14-3/16

Brice W said:
@ColdFront Agreed with every post you’ve made related to this topic. I think I’m just having major doubts while some of the ingredients are definitely eye catching. I still have many many questions, but that’s because it’s still early. I think the previous system kinda set that mentality for me, which I’m sure it probably has for a lot of others on here. I mean everything can be slam dunk but if you have that one ingredient less than the other you’ll result into something like 5/20/19. Some of those questions will get answered when the HRRR comes in. But I’ll still have my doubts.
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That’s honestly the best outlook to have sir. Be studious and always try and take the “hype” out when examining a system. Look for fail modes as well. Sometimes those ingredients being off don’t even matter. Sometimes they stop a possible historic outbreak. You can sometimes have a 5/20/2019 slam dunk Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency or a sneaky 4/26/2024 outbreak, or something on either side of those.
 
Richardjacks said:
The upper pattern really haunts me on this one....if the instability were more marginal, I wouldn't be nearly as concerned but given the high quality moisture that looks to be lurking in the gulf just before, I fear this is going to be a memorable event.
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I’m not a meteorologist like you but I’ve studied weather since I was 5. I have “that feeling” based off the same observations, and past experiences from other storm systems.
 
I will say, when James Spann talks, you listen. And I would say the same thing about Fred and @Richardjacks. I was here for the lead up to 12/10/2021, albeit under a different account name because I lost my password lol. If you look at the thread for that event, the first few pages or so are both Fred and Richard talking about the potential of that system and how it was a dangerous look.
 
ColdFront said:
I will say, when James Spann talks, you listen. And I would say the same thing about Fred and @Richardjacks. I was here for the lead up to 12/10/2021, albeit under a different account name because I lost my password lol. If you look at the thread for that event, the first few pages or so are both Fred and Richard talking about the potential of that system and how it was a dangerous look.
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I watched Spann's afternoon recap, and I will say, having watched him quite studiously in the past, I was surprised by his bold wording, especially considering we're still several days out. Granted, I think everything he said was more than reasonable, but it did rustle my jimmies just a bit.
 
Clancy said:
I watched Spann's afternoon recap, and I will say, having watched him quite studiously in the past, I was surprised by his bold wording, especially considering we're still several days out. Granted, I think everything he said was more than reasonable, but it did rustle my jimmies just a bit.
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I was able to have a brief convo with Spann a couple months ago about effective weather communication and bridging the gap between the weather and the public.

Just an incredibly insightful convo.

He isn't accidently using strong wording. Every word that comes out of his mouth is calculated and intentional.
 
I mentioned it last event, but want to re-up it now; for folks who might be in mobile homes or otherwise feel unsafe in their residences during severe weather events, folks in Alabama, much of Mississippi and beyond can find their nearest designated community storm shelters using https://findyourtornadoshelter.com/, a website with data compiled by the wonderful Craig Ceecee. A lot of churches and schools in the South tend to have underground or reinforced spaces, so you may also want to check in with your local churches, schools and administrative buildings.
 
Clancy said:
I mentioned it last event, but want to re-up it now; for folks who might be in mobile homes or otherwise feel unsafe in their residences during severe weather events, folks in Alabama, much of Mississippi and beyond can find their nearest designated community storm shelters using https://findyourtornadoshelter.com/, a website with data compiled by the wonderful Craig Ceecee. A lot of churches and schools in the South tend to have underground or reinforced spaces, so you may also want to check in with your local churches, schools and administrative buildings.
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I wish Georgia had more shelters.
 
keithGA said:
I wish Georgia had more shelters.
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To my knowledge, we have many, but I'm not sure exactly how many. I do know that there are tornado-safe rooms in most of my County's administrative buildings, and I think they're required in new schools?
 
I teach HS earth/space science and it’s prom season. 2 schools in my district has prom scheduled for Saturday night. Had to be the bearer of bad news today and they were mad. I’m sure prom will be rescheduled but I’m worried that they will still meet and party Saturday night regardless of what the district decides.. Life of a HS teacher.
 
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