Severe WX Severe Weather Threat 3/14-3/16

[Kds86z]

Have a goodnight.

Ty. You also

 

[Shakespeare 2016]

Hard to say what kind of damage occurred in Troy but it doesn’t look good

Do you think the tornado that hit Diaz may be around a mid to high-end EF4? It is hard to tell.

 

[buckeye05]

Do you think the tornado that hit Diaz may be around a mid to high-end EF4? It is hard to tell.

Very possible. I need a closer look at those slabs because I can’t tell which ones are houses. That big one was an outbuilding though.

 

[buckeye05]

A few of those Diaz pics appear to show legit grass scouring, which is a big deal.

 

[Shakespeare 2016]

A few of those Diaz pics appear to show legit grass scouring, which is a big deal.

That is what I thought.

 

[buckeye05]

Ok taking a closer look now. This photo is getting passed around with assertion that it shows multiple homes slabbed. It doesn’t. Those are almost all detached garages. The only leveled house is in the upper right hand corner to the left of where those vehicles are parked.


Here’s the actual house, identified as a residence via tile flooring. Wasn’t a totally clean sweep, and bulldozer tracks from cleanup are visible in the second pic. We can rule out EF5 but EF4 is on the table.

 

[Brice W]

@buckeye05 I’d have to dig through the thread, but there was damage from the Bakersfield storm with mangled cars and messy and muddy soil thrown on them. Let me see if I can find them.

 

[MQATLSNOW]

The storms in southeast AL, southwest GA and FL panhandle really killed instability in ATL. Particularly robbed from us. Which wa fine by me. I prefer no tornadic storms though.

 

[Shakespeare 2016]

Ok taking a closer look now. This photo is getting passed around with assertion that it shows multiple homes slabbed. It doesn’t. Those are almost all detached garages. The only leveled house is in the upper right hand corner to the left of where those vehicles are parked.
View attachment 36472

Here’s the actual house, identified as a residence via tile flooring. Wasn’t a totally clean sweep, and debris cleanup via heavy machinery is in progress in these photos. We can rule out EF5 but EF4 is on the table.
View attachment 36473
View attachment 36474

Is the anchoring pretty decent? Are there sill plates? I think there could be.

 

[buckeye05]

Is the anchoring pretty decent?

I can’t tell. I need more foundation photos and better quality resolution.

@buckeye05 I’d have to dig through the thread, but there was damage from the Bakersfield storm with mangled cars and messy and muddy soil thrown on them. Let me see if I can find them.

I saw them. Looked like violent contextual damage. I’m not sure of what kind of structural damage it did though, which is what will determine the rating. I’m concerned about the fact that NWS Springfield is surveying though. I’ve seen them rate destroyed homes as low as high-end EF1.

 

[Brice W]

I can’t tell. I need more foundation photos and better quality resolution.


I saw them. Looked like violent contextual damage. I’m not sure of what kind of structural damage it did though, which is what will determine the rating. I’m concerned about the fact that NWS Springfield is surveying though. I’ve seen them rate destroyed homes as low as high-end EF1.

I’m sure pictures might’ve been posted somewhere. The thread was moving so fast given the event leading up to yesterday and today. If I remember the velocity seemed to be violent when it went over Bakersfield.

 

[Shakespeare 2016]

I’m sure pictures might’ve been posted somewhere. The thread was moving so fast given the event leading up to yesterday and today. If I remember the velocity seemed to be violent when it went over Bakersfield.

Bakersfield is a preliminary low-end EF3 according to Wiki.

 

[wx_guy]

Color me surprised, but the areas I pointed out earlier that are ripe for development might actually not develop anything...crazy, given the parameter space.

 

[Maxis_s]

6 fatalities from one of the Tylertown tornadoes, whichever one had the Tornado Emergency.

 

[buckeye05]

Here’s a before photo of that house and nearby garage/outbuildings near Diaz, AR. Also significant debris granulation in the second picture.

 

[buckeye05]

Also taking a look at the Franklin, AR damage. Check out the basement garage door. That is going to have an impact on the rating. Explosive garage door failure can have a catastrophic impact on the rest of any given house, especially when it allows wind to actually get underneath the subfloor like in this case. Looks like it blew the subfloor upward and then sent it pancaking down into the basement. That’s going to send the entire house flying.

 

[wx_guy]

1 hour StormNET. Not impressive at all. The severe threat looks to be great diminishing, despite a great parameter space. Looks like the LLJ might be disconnected from the parameters.

 

[Shakespeare 2016]

Also taking a look at the Franklin, AR damage. Check out the basement garage door. That is going to have an impact on the rating. Explosive garage door failure can have a catastrophic impact on the rest of any given house, especially when it allows wind to actually get underneath the subfloor like in this case. Looks like it blew the subfloor upward and then sent it pancaking down into the basement. That’s going to send the entire house flying.
View attachment 36477

This looks pretty obvious. It is probably somewhere around in the mid EF3 category.

 

[buckeye05]

Really worried about the small town of Plantersville, AL. Sounds like many homes were wiped out and there are multiple fatalities and people missing. Concerned with we’ll see by daylight here.

 

[Sawmaster]

Is the anchoring pretty decent? Are there sill plates? I think there could be.

It's there if you look for it. One part or the other of the tiled area looks to have been a garage- the long LVL header and parts of the door counterbalance spring are visible. Of course this assessment obviously comes from a non-trustworthy idiot who gets their info from bubble-gum wrappers....