Definitely turn that weather radio on before you hit the hay Friday night.
The system just now getting good sampled… think u see area increase further north. And now model guidance even slowing down things look slight nw trend even
No radio at my house, so my phone screaming at the top of its lungs will have to do for an alarm haha
That's what I was thinking. Sec semifinal is on Saturday and both Alabama and Auburn have a chance to be playing somebody that day
Bama get out out by Kentucky lol. Just kidding. Go Vols. Yeah not good at all
The Friday/Saturday system is not getting sampled yet in the CONUS upper air network. That's the lead upper low that comes across the South on Wednesday night into Thursday. The upper jet streak responsible for the Friday/Saturday threat is still digging in the Gulf of Alaska and northeast Pacific.
Wow. Thanks Fred. Thought be sampled by now
I agree, alarmists can endanger lives with such posts. When they are wrong, people get complacent.
The problem isn't that something like that gets posted here. It's that that type of clownology is out there in the internet world to begin with. I hope most people aren't coming to a place like here to actually get weather information. I mean not the slightest bit of disrespect to this forum or anyone here. I cut my forecasting teeth on the original iteration of this forum way back in the days when ABC 33/40 owned it and John Oldshue moderated it. I was excited about weather and knew just enough back in high school to be a little hype machine myself until people like Brad Travis, Jason Kelley (RIP), and others that used to be here long ago took the time to help me understand the correct approach to things long ago. But this is a place for weather novices to weather professionals to mingle with one another and talk shop. While there are some brilliant minds here that deliver good information, this isn't the type of place for John Q. Public or Sally What's It Gonna Do Next Week to come get critical weather information.
That's why, despite there having been a D6 ENH Risk for this system, our station is taking a very careful approach with our wording and ramping this up. It's no secret that this will probably be an active spring, and it might be a violent one. There may be one or two days here where I need people in my audience to REALLY listen and trust what I say with little or no hesitation. I can't get them to do that if we're sounding alarms for every cold front. If Saturday is going to be one of those days where they REALLY need to listen to me, I wanna make as close to darn sure of it as I can before we sound the alarms. As I told them yesterday in a big post, it's not my job to be first. It's my job to be as accurate as possible while still giving plenty of time to prepare.
real lmfao
The March 3-5th severe weather threat pretty much is a perfect example of why sounding the alarm on an event a couple days out almost never ends with public trust in meteorologist going up.
Spann/Simpson/etc. have all been doing the same thing-- because yeah, nobody knows. We've got some runs, some uptrends (some downtrends then uptrends again) and other data, but it isn't a secret that people need the clicks to feel important and some "enthusiasts" hope that the max potential finds true because it gives them content, and that fact is horrifying because so many people use other's suffering (and in turn, the hope for the potential) to at worst line their pockets. I don't remember exactly what storm it was but there was a chaser I remember watching shoo off some people who were flooding into a recently decimated neighborhood and take pictures of people and their destroyed property.
