Severe WX Severe Weather Threat 3/14-3/16

[mariachi507]

Hasn't been released yet.

I've obviously been staring at colorful blobs for way too long. Haha

 

[UpperLevelLOL]

That Greensburg, LA storm could have a lot of room to run through some top end parameter space if it can stay isolated

 

[ColdFront]

LOL,,, people on the other site are already calling this a fail,,, Give me a break; this is just beginning for the most part.

Those people are also getting properly called out. That site isn’t just a bunch of Wx Twitter users.

 

[Maxis_s]

Pay attention to this storm near the LA/MS state line.

 

[Blountwolf]

could possibly be a more linear event across northern MS into the TN valley of AL and a cellular event across central/southern MS into central AL. If that ended up occurring, SPC would have nailed the placement of the high risk.

Looking like they nailed it to me.

 

[Clancy]

Concerned by what I see in northern MS. But perhaps more notably, these two cells further south have potential to drop some big stuff.

 

[sak]

I'm not buying into the sentiment in here that things are looking better. This initial line was always supposed to happen. It's sucking up CAPE from the gulf and leaving it in its trail. super cells start popping up in that. It's a self fueling process and each line of storms will be more powerful than the last.

Think of this outbreak in waves. We're in the first wave. The second wave will be worse. And the third wave will be worse than that.

are you saying you think there will be storms that fire behind the current line that we have? i am highly skeptical of that. if that is what you are banking on for violent tornadoes, then i definitely think we are doing better.

i think it is pretty clear the cells firing ahead of the line are going to be the source of the long track violent tornadoes, if they do in fact occur.

 

[kcyalater]

things are about to pop off in south central MS.

those storms are consolidating very efficiently and clearing their surroundings. watch this area closely.

 

[SmokeEater]

Brookhaven cell may be a big problem down the road.

 

[jiharris0220]

Uh oh, I’m noticing how the confluence band in Louisiana is slowly becoming more broken up, turning semi discrete.

Along with the fact the cells within this band are becoming larger and more organized, clearly they’re beginning to root in the environment.

 

[Tomcats Forever!]

Is that secondary low the models were showing still forecast/forming?

 

[SilentShadow87]

Just a reminder to everyone that the morning storms on the day that shall not be named were also pretty messy. It's still really early to be calling a Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency.

 

[Maxis_s]

I'm betting on that Greensburg LA storm producing a strong tornado soon. The greatest tornado parameters at the moment are further south, colocated with that storm.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Your gunna have lots of trouble in south MS soon

 

[UpperLevelLOL]

Greensburg cell is turning right and ramping up, that could be our first violent long-tracker

 

[ColdFront]

LIX Observed sounding shows an absolutely loaded profile. SCP at almost 30. Small cap still in place

 

[US_Highway15]

The Greensburg seems to be getting it's act together. Wouldn't be surprised if a TOR Warning is issued here in the next five minutes.

 

[Chris3024]

These cells west of Starkville, MS seem to be congealing and trying to take shape

 

[Brice W]

Brookhaven storm looks very organized, hardly no rotation.

 

[Grand Poo Bah]

are you saying you think there will be storms that fire behind the current line that we have? i am highly skeptical of that. if that is what you are banking on for violent tornadoes, then i definitely think we are doing better.

i think it is pretty clear the cells firing ahead of the line are going to be the source of the long track violent tornadoes, if they do in fact occur.

Happy to hear you feel that way and I hope you're right! But it's dangerous to start getting dismissive this early, and there isn't a single meteorologist who agrees with you.