• Welcome to TalkWeather!
    We see you lurking around TalkWeather! Take the extra step and join us today to view attachments, see less ads and maybe even join the discussion.
    CLICK TO JOIN TALKWEATHER

Severe WX Severe Weather Thread - 6/15/26 - 6/21/26

Obviously well north of the warm front, but this is a great example of a pure shear environment, deep within the jet core in all levels of the atmosphere.
If this had even any measurable amount of thermal instability in the PBL (cold air on top of warm air at the same atm pressure) you could get a congestus cloud to put down a tornado, I’m not joking either.
1781450451271.png
 
Storm mode will be key to this event. Given a warm front stunting south, and shear parallel vectors, we may have to initiate on other sides of forcing mechanisms. In initial discrete mode, strong to intense tornadoes will be possible. How long we remain discrete is the question or do we congeal?

This event warrants very close watching given the parameters at play.
 
Gonna note that Thursday within more confined to the Mid Atlantic, there is a unusual Dixie threat that will be at play. Very strong low level shear combined with some sort of almost remnant mesoscale feature may lead to a unusual, tropical-eque event for the area. Wouldn't be surprised at a isolated significant tornado threat with MS/AL on this one. And it's June.
 
The weather this week looks rough for Missouri, Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, Ohio and Nebraska. This will be something that needs to be watched and discussed. The weather some of those areas had over the past few days is going to make people nervous. Lets make sure that we give them correct information and no fluff. People are watching who are just interested in what is about to take place.

Discuss:
 

Attachments

  • day4prob.gif
    day4prob.gif
    28.4 KB · Views: 2
day5prob.gif

There’s also a day five 15% yellow highlighted risk for severe weather for mid Atlantic and New England for Thursday
 
Brice W said:
Not to be that but there is some overlapping with this thread and the other thread that was created for this event.
Click to expand...
I did not see the other thread because it was not created correctly. I will move these posts over to it, correct it, and delete this thread.
 
JayF said:
I did not see the other thread because it was not created correctly. I will move these posts over to it, correct it, and delete this thread.
Click to expand...
Why does this thread start tomorrow? Isn’t even a slight risk next 2 days, just marginal. The thread was good before with June 17-18 and can add dates if needed. This thread is unnecessarily long. Last week for June 6-14 thread the added days worked out because we had ENH/MDT/SLGT risks every single day June 6-14 and I am satisfied with how that worked out.
 
Last edited:
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top