Severe weather all hazards threat for wed 10/21 through Sunday 10/25 2026

[KakashiHatake2000]

Updated it to thanks again for catching that and wow the severe stretch continues looks like golly we had severe weather almost all week will have to wait and see what Sunday brings

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

Updated it to Severe weather all hazards threat for wed 10/21 through Saturday 10/24 2026 thanks for catching that and wow the severe stretch continues looks like golly we had severe weather almost all week

Will continue to do so but this stretch will definitely die down soon enough and then there's signals for next week but that's moreso on the low end so no need to worry yet about a thread for that

 

[Kds86z]

Still waiting on surveys for tornadoes last few days...

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

Okay sounds good and I see yeah it has been a interesting stretch this week thankfully no injuries or worse also I heard about that too and okay sounds good will have to wait and see but yeah agreed and noted

 

[Kds86z]

Okay sounds good and I see yeah it has been a interesting stretch this week thankfully no injuries or worse also I heard about that too okay sounds good will have to wait and see but yeah agreed and noted

Yeah Reed says That one was rated ef2 but where is survey. I assume he talked to nws.

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

Still waiting on surveys for tornadoes last few days...

Heber-Overgaard was rated EF2, I'm pretty sure. As for the sigtor in NM last night, mightve been too rural for any notable damage to see but that looked pretty nasty via VROT.

 

[Kds86z]

Thanks weatherman leprechaun good to know and would have to agree it is getting quite lengthy

Probably would be easier to do it like 10/21/ to 10/24 and not list what the days are.

 

[Kds86z]

Heber-Overgaard was rated EF2, I'm pretty sure. As for the sigtor in NM last night, mightve been too rural for any notable damage to see but that looked pretty nasty via VROT.

Yeah but where is the survey.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Kds86z]

Regardless of tornado activity it’s still been a rare few days in the southwest.

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

Okay so day two has marginal risk out still no tornado threat or wind just 5% hail but but still waiting until day one

The environment seems to support it dry dew points elongated hodograph I assume high lcl and elevated instability steep lapse rates could lead to outflow dominate storms left splitters perhaps upper level supports it surface feature with easterly winds with stationary front too maybe upon trying to fill in the puzzle pieces

 

[Kds86z]

GREATER BUOYANCY IS EXPECTED FARTHER SOUTH, WHERE DEWPOINTS WILL
LIKELY BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S AMID AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE
MID/UPPER 70S. MODERATE TO STRONG DEEP-LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR WILL
PERSIST ACROSS AREA AS WELL, SUPPORTING THE POTENTIAL FOR
SUPERCELLS. ADDITIONALLY, A MORE SOUTHEASTERLY COMPONENT TO THE
LOW-LEVEL FLOW IS POSSIBLE FROM SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST NM INTO FAR
WEST TX, WHICH COULD SUPPORT SLOWER STORM MOTIONS AND A RELATIVELY
GREATER POTENTIAL FOR HAIL AND TORNADOES. SOME VERY LARGE HAIL
GREATER THAN 2" IN DIAMETER IS ALSO MORE POSSIBLE HERE. THIS REGION
SHOULD ALSO EXPERIENCE GREATER LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AS THE SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVES THROUGH DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. THIS
GREATER ASCENT COULD RESULT IN A MORE LINEAR MODE AND THE POTENTIAL
FOR A FEW BOWING SEGMENTS. OVERALL, THERE APPEARS TO BE A RELATIVELY
GREATER SEVERE POTENTIAL FROM SOUTH-CENTRAL NM INTO SOUTHEAST NM AND
FAR WEST TX COMPARED TO AREAS FARTHER NORTH AND WEST.

..MOSIER/HALBERT.. 10/24/2026

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

 

[Kds86z]

Other tornado rated EF1. Here I thought Timmer had the scoop saying Heber-Overgaard tornado was EF2 but nope.

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

Gotcha and maybe with looking on radar with reflectivity velocity and cc but the damage was little to none so got rated ef1

 

[Kds86z]

One chaser on this

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

Rated 110 mph

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

Other tornado rated EF1. Here I thought Timmer had the scoop saying Heber-Overgaard tornado was EF2 but nope.

Gonna guess Reed misconstrued 110 mph as a LE EF2. Seems legit that he would be talking to them, but mistakes happen.

 

[Kds86z]

Gonna guess Reed misconstrued 110 mph as a LE EF2. Seems legit that he would be talking to them, but mistakes happen.

Yeah it seemed borderline strong ef1-low ef2 to me but didn’t see damage that screamed out definite EF2 to me.