People kinda forget that stuff like that are kinda in the fine lining of warnings. Only really tor-es are all that different.
-
Welcome to TalkWeather! We see you lurking around TalkWeather! Take the extra step and join us today to view attachments, see less ads and maybe even join the discussion. CLICK TO JOIN TALKWEATHER
Severe weather all hazards threat for today wed 10/21 and tomorrow thurs 10/22 and Friday 10/23 2026
- Thread starter KakashiHatake2000
- Start date
Kds86z
Member
Kds86z
Member
1 injury reported as of now from that tornado.
Last edited:
Kds86z
Member
Kds86z
Member
- Thread starter
- #106
KakashiHatake2000
Member
new spc day 1 outlook out 2-5% tornado 5-15% damaging wind and 5-15% cig 1 hail 
Kds86z
Member
Kds86z
Member
Kds86z
Member
Kds86z
Member
Get your chasing hats on
Latest day 1:
ANOTHER ACTIVE AND RELATIVELY RARE SETUP FROM A CLIMATOLOGICAL
PERSPECTIVE CONTINUES REGIONALLY, AND WILL TEND TO SHIFT
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS WILL BE
AS THE UPPER LOW IN VICINITY OF THE SOCAL COAST CONTINUES TO BECOME
MORE NORTHEASTWARD PROGRESSIVE TODAY, REACHING PORTIONS OF THE GREAT
BASIN AND LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY BY THIS EVENING. SCENARIO WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR SUPERCELLS, PARTICULARLY FOR EASTERN
ARIZONA AND WESTERN NEW MEXICO FROM A LONGER-DURATION AND TORNADO PERSPECTIVE, AS LOW-LEVEL WINDS OTHERWISE WILL TEND TO TAKE ON MORE OF A WESTERLY COMPONENT OVER TIME FARTHER WEST ACROSS ARIZONA AS THE UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES. SEVERE PROBABILITIES HAVE BEEN INCREASED/EXPANDED NORTHWARD TOWARD THE FOUR CORNERS/COLORADO PLATEAU VICINITY, WHERE AN ATYPICALLY RARE SETUP OF
DEEP-LAYER/LOW-LEVEL SHEAR COINCIDENT WITH MODEST BUT ADEQUATE SEVERE-CONDUCIVE DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION IS EXPECTED.
AS COMPARED TO YESTERDAY, A GREATER COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL LIKELY EXIST BY LATER TODAY/AFTERNOON, WHICH MAY MEAN A LESS-DISCRETE NATURE OF THE SUPERCELLS, BUT WITH MORE NUMEROUS SEVERE-CALIBER/SUPERCELL STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL, DAMAGING
WINDS AND A TORNADO RISK. RECENT TUCSON WSR-88D VWP DATA STILL
REFLECTS STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR/SRH AND (SPLITTING)
SUPERCELL-FAVORABLE DEEP-LAYER WIND PROFILES, WITH THE PROBABILITY
THAT TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL PROBABLY MAXIMIZE ACROSS EASTERN
ARIZONA/FAR WESTERN NEW MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING,
ESPECIALLY WHERE TOPOGRAPHY INFLUENCES A LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY WIND
COMPONENT. LARGE HAIL WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH BOTH LEFT-MOVING AND
RIGHT-MOVING SUPERCELLS.
Latest day 1:
ANOTHER ACTIVE AND RELATIVELY RARE SETUP FROM A CLIMATOLOGICAL
PERSPECTIVE CONTINUES REGIONALLY, AND WILL TEND TO SHIFT
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS WILL BE
AS THE UPPER LOW IN VICINITY OF THE SOCAL COAST CONTINUES TO BECOME
MORE NORTHEASTWARD PROGRESSIVE TODAY, REACHING PORTIONS OF THE GREAT
BASIN AND LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY BY THIS EVENING. SCENARIO WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR SUPERCELLS, PARTICULARLY FOR EASTERN
ARIZONA AND WESTERN NEW MEXICO FROM A LONGER-DURATION AND TORNADO PERSPECTIVE, AS LOW-LEVEL WINDS OTHERWISE WILL TEND TO TAKE ON MORE OF A WESTERLY COMPONENT OVER TIME FARTHER WEST ACROSS ARIZONA AS THE UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES. SEVERE PROBABILITIES HAVE BEEN INCREASED/EXPANDED NORTHWARD TOWARD THE FOUR CORNERS/COLORADO PLATEAU VICINITY, WHERE AN ATYPICALLY RARE SETUP OF
DEEP-LAYER/LOW-LEVEL SHEAR COINCIDENT WITH MODEST BUT ADEQUATE SEVERE-CONDUCIVE DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION IS EXPECTED.
AS COMPARED TO YESTERDAY, A GREATER COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL LIKELY EXIST BY LATER TODAY/AFTERNOON, WHICH MAY MEAN A LESS-DISCRETE NATURE OF THE SUPERCELLS, BUT WITH MORE NUMEROUS SEVERE-CALIBER/SUPERCELL STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL, DAMAGING
WINDS AND A TORNADO RISK. RECENT TUCSON WSR-88D VWP DATA STILL
REFLECTS STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR/SRH AND (SPLITTING)
SUPERCELL-FAVORABLE DEEP-LAYER WIND PROFILES, WITH THE PROBABILITY
THAT TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL PROBABLY MAXIMIZE ACROSS EASTERN
ARIZONA/FAR WESTERN NEW MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING,
ESPECIALLY WHERE TOPOGRAPHY INFLUENCES A LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY WIND
COMPONENT. LARGE HAIL WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH BOTH LEFT-MOVING AND
RIGHT-MOVING SUPERCELLS.
WeathermanLeprechaun
Member
Yeah, today gonna be interesting too. QLCS line segments also in the mix here and there.
Solid tornado last night in Arizona. Questions to be made about warning process. Regardless of lack of experience with such tornsdo event, they should be trained for these situations you know?
Solid tornado last night in Arizona. Questions to be made about warning process. Regardless of lack of experience with such tornsdo event, they should be trained for these situations you know?
Kds86z
Member
Last edited:
- Thread starter
- #113
KakashiHatake2000
Member
That is pretty interesting and completely agree with you but aren’t they already trained though I thought
Kds86z
Member
Hey @KakashiHatake2000 , may want to expand this thread risk. Slight risk upgrade for tomorrow and mentions possible supercells and tornadoes.
- Thread starter
- #115
KakashiHatake2000
Member
I was thinking about doing that but was waiting but sure thing boss
- Thread starter
- #116
KakashiHatake2000
Member
Done and done do I get a pay raise jk lol
Beachwalker
Member
If you work for the NWS and can’t recognize a radar couplet on a day when it was well forecasted in advance, that’s a problem.
Kds86z
Member
I’m going to say EF2.
Last edited:
Kds86z
Member