Muwx
Member
Possible initiation in NC OK, south of Ponca city.
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Severe WX Severe Weather 4/24-4/26
- Thread starter Sharpy
- Start date
TornadoFan
Member
The storm west of Elk Falls, KS is starting to hook pretty good now.
It's taking in a favorable merger, may be go time for it after it reorganizes a bit. Albeit I also think it may have dropped earlier, unfortunately impossible to tell with no one on it.
TornadoFan
Member
The Perry, OK storm is now pushing 40,000 feet.
Kds86z
Member
TornadoFan
Member
Wichita Falls storm. Lots of hail.
Muwx
Member
Probably need a tornado warning on the SE KS storm.
TornadoFan
Member
Wichita Falls storm is trying to get going.
zath
Member
Seems like the Wichita Falls, TX storm is struggling to reach its full potential because it can't anchor better to the boundary. It got close a couple times and there was a noticeable increase in the strength of the meso in the lower and mid levels, but then it retracted and weakened. Then the storms east of Wichita, KS over into southwestern MO are prolific "pulse" storms when it comes to strong mesos. They develop rotation pretty fast, but it doesn't seem super deep and then weakens. Seems like all around storms are having trouble maturing - at least to what the environment is possible of producing.
Muwx
Member
Convective attempts in NCOK appear to be failing.
There is so much convection though that I think the chances of something firing off isn't very unlikely.
WeathermanLeprechaun
Member
Storms in N OK may still be struggling due to a remnant inversion of sorts. SE KS storm has a favorable nudger and is in a well sheared environment with a increasing LLJ here. Airmass recovery did its job up here pretty well for today.
Looking at mesoanalysis, there's no MUCIN, and the skew-ts have zero inversion. It's probably a lack of forcing, or something much more subtle.
The storms yesterday were so lethargic I don't think they spent a whole lot of resources. Also the OK storms may just need more cook time, they are ramping up.
WeathermanLeprechaun
Member
There's a subtle inversion causing mid level lapse rates to be weaker. 700-500s are weaker and combined with the relative lack of good convergence on the dryline, this isn't exactly ideal for mature supercells. You'll see this little ripples as you rise with heights and those are warmer temps aloft fighting and hurting convection. Strong dry slot at play too.
WeathermanLeprechaun
Member
Sorry for quoting twice :/ could've added this in prev post
and also, to add, that this virtually remains the same in SE KS but cells have required mergers to mature up there. Right now on this dryline, there is convection but not much merging which would be a very subtle forcing mechanism in itself. I'd watch for mergers moreso than individual updrafts because no updraft will power through those mid levels alone without help.
akt1985
Member
Humansville, Missouri, an interesting name for a town and in the path of a possible tornado.