• Welcome to TalkWeather!
    We see you lurking around TalkWeather! Take the extra step and join us today to view attachments, see less ads and maybe even join the discussion.
    CLICK TO JOIN TALKWEATHER

Severe WX Severe Weather 4/24-4/26

Clancy said:
Current predictive modelling outputs are really favoring the Midsouth and Tennessee Valley for the greatest severe probabilities on April 27, with several days of additional activity in the days before and after. @Sharpy I would suggest adding April 28 to the thread title, as some risk will likely carry over to that day.
severe_fcst_6panel_042112.png

PRTORNC01_gefsF168.png
PRSIGTC01_gefsF168.png
Click to expand...
Agreed - 4/28 has been included. Thanks!
 
UncleJuJu98 said:
And 7 years overall since the last violent one in all of Alabama. Alabama is overdue unfortunately.
Click to expand...
This is bordering more on sigtor events as a message but I would argue Old Kingston from 2023 breached that level and even the office itself suggested it was likely violent but didn't get the rating. This was the 1/12/23 event.
 
WeathermanLeprechaun said:
This is bordering more on sigtor events as a message but I would argue Old Kingston from 2023 breached that level and even the office itself suggested it was likely violent but didn't get the rating. This was the 1/12/23 event.
Click to expand...
Oh yeah I remember watching the video that a storm chaser posted near the interstate ramp down near that area and it has the subvortices thought it was ef4. But surprised me when they put it as ef3. It was truly a impressive long track strong tornado.
 
WeathermanLeprechaun said:
This is bordering more on sigtor events as a message but I would argue Old Kingston from 2023 breached that level and even the office itself suggested it was likely violent but didn't get the rating. This was the 1/12/23 event.
Click to expand...
I always forget about that event because it essentially came out of nowhere. For some reason, when I do think of it, it stands out more in my mind than even the Alabama portion of 3/15 last year.
 
ColdFront said:
I always forget about that event because it essentially came out of nowhere. For some reason, when I do think of it, it stands out more in my mind than even the Alabama portion of 3/15 last year.
Click to expand...
It actually verified a high risk according to the RIV spreadsheet Broyles gave me a while back. That was on a different and older device which I lost though :/
 
Shakespeare 2016 said:
I think it was Beauregard on March 3, 2019.
Click to expand...
Correct
Schoeppeya said:
The EURO and GFS are in pretty good agreement for this range about a fairly impressive environment for tornadoes along the dryline in Oklahoma on Sunday evening.

(Whatever changed on the pic attachment setting needs to get fixed its super annoying)
Click to expand...
Im expecting a 30% for that risk area by tommrow update of models continue. The spc was mentioning about having it a 30% in today's update but held off.
 
As
UncleJuJu98 said:
Correct
Im expecting a 30% for that risk area by tommrow update of models continue. The spc was mentioning about having it a 30% in today's update but held off.
Click to expand...
yeah no doubt . And looks like you see 30
Percent area go out by least Thursday morning for day 7 12 z models look quiet impressive
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top