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Severe WX Severe Weather 4/11 - 4/15

speedbump305 said:
Probably a silly question to ask, but I am still learning. How reliable are the cams in relation to other models?
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The cams are the short range models (24-72 hours) and they're the ones that really break down mesoscale variables on a local level. The RAP, NAM, HRRR, and RRFS are all cams (convective allowing models). The GFS, Euro (ECMWF), CFS, Icon etc.are all long range forecast models and they're much less detailed, and provide much less data.
 
Grand Poo Bah said:
The cams are the short range models (24-72 hours) and they're the ones that really break down mesoscale variables on a local level. The RAP, NAM, HRRR, and RRFS are all cams (convective allowing models). The GFS, Euro (ECMWF), CFS, Icon etc.are all long range forecast models and they're much less detailed, and provide much less data.
Click to expand...
NAM and RAP aren’t convective allowing, right? NAM3k is.
 
Site isn’t letting me post it for some reason, but there’s a particular damage pic from Ottawa that is quite interesting. It shows significant structural damage to what appears to be a small hotel or apartment building, but big time contextual discrepancies are very obvious. No damage to the light pole, the tree behind it still has all its leaves and suffered little to no damage, and the cheap plastic fencing is still intact. I wouldn’t be surprised if a significantly lower-bound rating was applied at this specific structure.
 
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