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Severe Weather 2026

Probably one of the stupidest GFS soundings I have ever picked. This is big trouble if trend remains. this run does have the svr threat placement right however. Still uncertainty and changes to happen though.
 

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Funny thing that's happened is that the Illinois/Indiana on the 11th has given June of this year more significant tornadoes than May. Which only had a whopping 3 ef2+ tornadoes! Also most of those were EF3s, to make things stranger.
 
eep said:
Funny thing that's happened is that the Illinois/Indiana on the 11th has given June of this year more significant tornadoes than May. Which only had a whopping 3 ef2+ tornadoes! Also most of those were EF3s, to make things stranger.
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Yeah June has 3 EF3, 6 EF2. May had 1 EF2, 2 EF3.
 
KevinH said:
Ok... I wonder what the SPC will say in the coming days.

Kind of ODD to see this in the deep south in the middle of June.
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I just realized this is a TROPICAL system, not severe. Now it is not so odd given hurricane season started. I know this isn't a hurricane but this kind of system at this time of year, in Dixie DOES make more sense than the severe threat I had been thinking this was.

Still watching it though:oops: lol
 
KevinH said:
I just realized this is a TROPICAL system, not severe. Now it is not so odd given hurricane season started. I know this isn't a hurricane but this kind of system at this time of year, in Dixie DOES make more sense than the severe threat I had been thinking this was.

Still watching it though:oops: lol
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There is a thread that features the 18th for svr potential if you wanna discuss it.

WeathermanLeprechaun

Severe WX Post in thread 'Severe Weather Thread - 6/15/26 - 6/18/26'

I'll be more explicit. This I a very dangerous day setting up l. Consistent model agreement, string of pearls in 400-700 SRH. The issue with this setup is that these cells develop in lesser shear meaning they gradually grow and mature into the warm sector which means they're interesting with the shear at hand. Meteorological standards in June, this type of setup had my eye from the start and it's really taken a turn. We're talking EF4+ tornadoes with this one imo.
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WeathermanLeprechaun said:
There is a thread that features the 18th for svr potential if you wanna discuss it.

WeathermanLeprechaun

Severe WX Post in thread 'Severe Weather Thread - 6/15/26 - 6/18/26'

I'll be more explicit. This I a very dangerous day setting up l. Consistent model agreement, string of pearls in 400-700 SRH. The issue with this setup is that these cells develop in lesser shear meaning they gradually grow and mature into the warm sector which means they're interesting with the shear at hand. Meteorological standards in June, this type of setup had my eye from the start and it's really taken a turn. We're talking EF4+ tornadoes with this one imo.
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  • Wow
Click to expand...
Yup! Thank you.

I get email alerts every time a thread is created on here LOL!!!
 
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