Severe Weather 2024

[tornado examiner]

This next event something we all though was gonna be a nothingburger is now looking more spicy!

 

[UncleJuJu98]

This next event something we all though was gonna be a nothingburger is now looking more spicy!

Still needs more consistency, a good look though , but still kindve on the edge of voodoo range lol.

 

[tornado examiner]

Still needs more consistency, a good look though , but still kindve on the edge of voodoo range lol.

Voodoo

 

[CheeselandSkies]

That's a really good warm sector for mid February on the globals. Sheesh.

Mainly just the Euro. 12Z GFS (deterministic, at least) has a pretty different look for the same timeframe. Something could certainly happen then but need to see more consistency/agreement.

 

[tornado examiner]

If the warm sector does materialize what kind of event are we looking at severity wise?

 

[TH2002]

Footage from yesterday's tornado in JAX. Extremely small but it had some violent motion going on.

Somewhat unrelated, but it has to be mentioned that Florida is the "mini drillbit tornado" capital of the world:





edit: Video 2 was removed apparently, but fortunately I have a magic trick:

Dailymotion

www.dailymotion.com

 

[Clancy]

Somewhat unrelated, but it has to be mentioned that Florida is the "mini drillbit tornado" capital of the world:





edit: Video 2 was removed apparently, but fortunately I have a magic trick:

Dailymotion

www.dailymotion.com

That 3rd video was like a tiny Andover. The presentation of these little guys is crazy.

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

Mainly just the Euro. 12Z GFS (deterministic, at least) has a pretty different look for the same timeframe. Something could certainly happen then but need to see more consistency/agreement.

Hard get big severe event when trough digs down to the gulf nearly …. Flow easily become s meridonal which usually pinches off the warm front ,makes it hard to move north much

 

[UncleJuJu98]

GFS hopping on board with a more favorable low ejection. Euro a bit more southeast. It'll drag more northwest with time though.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

 

[KevinH]

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Man we may have to change the talk to snow talk instead of severe with how 12z models are today hahah

Push that low about 200 miles more south and cyclogenesis as it gets near the Florida panhandle to cross to the Atlantic... Yowza, although I would like to see a better cold push lol

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Interesting, I'll start posting in the winter thread if this continues doubt will actually see some snow. But hey. lol.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

You making that drive? @CheeselandSkies

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Lot of weather weenies are going crazy hahaha. Man I would totally be out though if this was in my back of the woods.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Lol, hadn't even occurred to me. SPC doesn't even have a marginal risk on the Day 3. Highly suspect that run is a fluke, but will certainly keep an eye on it now.

Unfortunately the run shows those things getting going around 23Z which is after dark this time of year, even if it did verify verbatim.

 

[WaryWarren]

I hope you make it, CS. Don't make me watch that annoying a$$ VW.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Not another model hopping on board lol

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Hahaha everybody in the Midwest.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Euro and GFS back this morning with a more favorable low ejection. Although not as impressive as a couple days ago