Severe Weather 2024

[KevinH]

And me thinks that the Deep South isn't quite done yet either.

Shhhhhhhh

 

[JPWX]

Shhhhhhhh

NEVER!!!! LOL!

 

[TH2002]

Because people like to pull talking points from their gastrointestinal tract.

The entirety of Twitter in a nutshell

 

[Clancy]

NWS office accounts will no longer be able to reliably tweet warning information due to rate limits. Life saving information? No way! But 13 trillion spam bots? That's a-okay!

 

[Tanner]

A good showcase of why these past few weeks have been SO active.

Based off this, I also expect the rest of spring to be active, but a sharp decline at the end of May/start of June in activity is likely to lead to a slower summer than last year for severe weather (but a much more turbulent tropical storm season).

The emerging La Nina could really kill the subtropical jet influence and send the polar jet northward, shutting down the severe weather in the central and northern plains.

 

[Tanner]

Also,

A good showcase of why these past few weeks have been SO active.

Based off this, I also expect the rest of spring to be active, but a sharp decline at the end of May/start of June in activity is likely to lead to a slower summer than last year for severe weather (but a much more turbulent tropical storm season).

The emerging La Nina could really kill the subtropical jet influence and send the polar jet northward, shutting down the severe weather in the central and northern plains.

I’m not too knowledgeable, so please don’t judge me

 

[Kds86z]

Also,

I’m not too knowledgeable, so please don’t judge me

I need to add up how many tornadoes have happened last 2 weeks

 

[TheSuckZone]

 

[Kds86z]

Whooo Nelly..

 

[Gail]

I knew it was a lot, but seeing the numbers laid out like that….wow!

 

[warneagle]

NWS office accounts will no longer be able to reliably tweet warning information due to rate limits. Life saving information? No way! But 13 trillion spam bots? That's a-okay!

W E D G E S I N B I O

 

[Clancy]

Models honing on May 14 for a severe threat in the South. SPC also mentions the possibility, though there remain uncertainties about moisture quality. Modelled moisture looks pretty robust, but crapvection along the coast could be a limiting factor.

...DISCUSSION...
A shortwave trough is expected to extend from the Mid MS Valley
through the Lower MS Valley early D4/Tuesday before then gradually
progressing eastward through the TN Valley and MS/AL throughout the
day. This wave is then forecast to continue progressing eastward
through GA, northern FL, and Mid-Atlantic on D5/Wednesday. Farther
west, another southern-stream shortwave trough is expected to move
across northern Mexico and into the southern Plains on D5/Wednesday,
continuing eastward through the Lower MS Valley on D6/Thursday.

Some severe potential may materialize across the Southeast and FL on
D4/Tuesday, where moderate buoyancy and shear could be in place
ahead of the approaching shortwave. However, there is some chance
the better low-level moisture and buoyancy will remain displaced
south of the better forcing as a result from either thunderstorm
development along the coast late Monday night/early Tuesday morning
or an overturning of the airmass by a convective line. This
uncertainty limits predictability.

 

[MoonBaby]

W E D G E S I N B I O

The snort laugh I just snort laughed

 

[Cood101]

Tornado south of Pittsburgh I believe.

Went warned as I was typing this

 

[FelipeFreitas]

Two tornadoes today in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil

 

[Kds86z]

Tornado forms as debris is thrown into the air in Washington County

Terrifying video just into the Pittsburgh Action News 4 newsroom shows the tornado in Finleyville as its forming.

www.wtae.com

 

[Clancy]

SREF picking up on the possible threat for the Southeast on Tuesday, even popping a tiny 60% corridor on SigTor Ingredients parameter (though I'd expect mostly a wind threat if we were to have one). CIPS likewise showing a bullseye for activity over AL and GA. In addition to this, we look to have a potentially active time across the whole country through the end of May. A little something for everybody to keep an eye on these next few weeks.

 

[Kds86z]

SREF picking up on the possible threat for the Southeast on Tuesday, even popping a tiny 60% corridor on SigTor Ingredients parameter (though I'd expect mostly a wind threat if we were to have one). CIPS likewise showing a bullseye for activity over AL and GA. In addition to this, we look to have a potentially active time across the whole country through the end of May. A little something for everybody to keep an eye on these next few weeks.
View attachment 27082View attachment 27083View attachment 27084View attachment 27085

Don’t forget today and tomorrow

 

[Kds86z]

Has there been a break in tornado warnings since before April 26? If we get them today and tomorrow. We did yesterday too

 

[Clancy]

Pretty much all the CAMs have coastal convection out the wazoo come Tuesday morning, which would significantly impact chances for severe weather up north. Could present a pretty substantial flooding risk for much of the South, regardless of severe, however.