Severe Weather 2024

[warneagle]

Upgraded to TORR

 

[TH2002]

219
WWUS52 KTAE 042020
SVSTAE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
320 PM EST Sun Feb 4 2024

GAC185-042045-
/O.CON.KTAE.TO.W.0034.000000T0000Z-240204T2045Z/
Lowndes GA-
320 PM EST Sun Feb 4 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM EST FOR NORTH
CENTRAL LOWNDES COUNTY...

At 319 PM EST, a confirmed tornado was located near Valdosta, moving
north at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.

This tornado will be near...
Valdosta and Moody Air Force Base around 325 PM EST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Barretts.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

If a tornado or other severe weather is spotted, report it to the
National Weather Service or your local nearest law enforcement agency
who will send your report. This act may save lives of others in the
path of dangerous weather.

&&

LAT...LON 3103 8335 3102 8318 3095 8318 3095 8315
3083 8313 3084 8330
TIME...MOT...LOC 2019Z 162DEG 34KT 3090 8324

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

42-DVD

 

[JPWX]

I’m surprised the SPC has not upgraded to slight risk and issued a Tornado Watch for north Florida and South Georgia.

Same!

 

[Clancy]

Meso handoff underway.

 

[warneagle]

I don't know how these graphics are generated but it's very weird how often they do this, where they list places that I don't think are even actual incorporated towns rather than the city of >50,000 people it's currently affecting.

 

[warneagle]

The cell to the north near Adel is warned again, that's gonna cross right over I-75 shortly. Not great.

 

[Clancy]

I don't know how these graphics are generated but it's very weird how often they do this, where they list places that I don't think are even actual incorporated towns rather than the city of >50,000 people it's currently affecting.

I'm guessing it's got sharp cutoffs based on the GIS data, like how here the geographical center of Valdosta is just outside of the polygon.

 

[TH2002]

Dual couplets near Adel

 

[Clancy]

Footage from Valdosta. Large, maybe MV tornado that passed thru the east side.

 

[warneagle]

I'm guessing it's got sharp cutoffs based on the GIS data, like how here the geographical center of Valdosta is just outside of the polygon.

Yeah I'm sure it's a technical thing, it just makes the graphics less informative than they could be, which is a shame since they're a good way of presenting warning info.

 

[TH2002]

Gonna throw out there that these sneaky setups are beyond fascinating to me. If I'm not mistaken, Valdosta is barely inside the MRGL risk area!

 

[Clancy]

TAE seems to be letting the Valdosta warning go. Unrelated, but the structure of these storms is making it particularly difficult to pin down features with how messy it ends up looking on velocity and CC.

 

[warneagle]

Footage from Valdosta. Large, maybe MV tornado that passed thru the east side.

That is...an impressive-looking tornado given how marginal the environment is. (Although mesoanalysis does show a small local shear/SRH maximum near there)

 

[Clancy]

Gonna throw out there that these sneaky setups are beyond fascinating to me. If I'm not mistaken, Valdosta is barely inside the MRGL risk area!

Seconded! Proximity to the low and the high levels of 3CAPE are probably important factors here, though I'm sure there's more.

 

[warneagle]

Maybe proximity to the warm front helping to enhance the low-level shear?

 

[MichelleH]

Did everyone at the SPC take the day off??

 

[Clancy]

Deets from the newest D1 ~45 minutes ago.

..20Z Update...
The Marginal Risk has been expanded westward into a larger portion
of southwest GA and the northeast FL Panhandle, based on the
progression of the surface warm front and presence of small but
rotating cells moving northward across the region. See MCD 106 for
more information. A portion of the Marginal Risk has been trimmed
from south FL, but there remains some chance of a strong storm or
two late tonight with isolated hail/wind potential across far south
FL and the Keys.

The Marginal Risk has been expanded slightly northward along the CA
coast, based on observational and guidance trends regarding the
areas most prone to low-topped convection within a strongly sheared
environment.

 

[TH2002]

Definite TOG east of KVAX

 

[southmdwatcher]

Another tornado debris signature with this new warning, north of Needmore GA.

 

[Clancy]

Stepped away for 5 minutes and come back to several tornado warnings, geez.

Footage of Valdosta tornado from the air.