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Severe Weather 2024

MichelleH said:
Why Brad? WHY? Brad Travis posted on Facebook how we're going into a La Nina pattern and how that may make winter weather and severe weather more active. And he used 2011 as an example. *sigh* So now a bunch of the normies in the comments are thinking we're going to have another generational outbreak next spring and I'm sure that will making the social media rounds about as fast as the nitwits who blame tornadoes on NEXRAD.
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No Way GIF
 
Insert facepalm. While yes 2011 was La Nina (which is as far as I will go with bringing that year up), we are still in Neutral ENSO with expectation of going into a La Nina. When that happens though is unknown. Still though could make for a very interesting Fall severe weather season. I really haven't come across anything that dictates above normal or below normal tornado seasons during Neutral ENSO.

Don't forget about those people who believe roundabouts cause tornadoes due to how fast a car goes through them. I wish I was making that up. As a degreed meteorologist, it absolutely saddens me to see all this crap going around.
 
JPWX said:
Insert facepalm. While yes 2011 was La Nina (which is as far as I will go with bringing that year up), we are still in Neutral ENSO with expectation of going into a La Nina. When that happens though is unknown. Still though could make for a very interesting Fall severe weather season. I really haven't come across anything that dictates above normal or below normal tornado seasons during Neutral ENSO.

Don't forget about those people who believe roundabouts cause tornadoes due to how fast a car goes through them. I wish I was making that up. As a degreed meteorologist, it absolutely saddens me to see all this crap going around.
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Roundabouts :D:D:D
 
JPWX said:
Insert facepalm. While yes 2011 was La Nina (which is as far as I will go with bringing that year up), we are still in Neutral ENSO with expectation of going into a La Nina. When that happens though is unknown. Still though could make for a very interesting Fall severe weather season. I really haven't come across anything that dictates above normal or below normal tornado seasons during Neutral ENSO.

Don't forget about those people who believe roundabouts cause tornadoes due to how fast a car goes through them. I wish I was making that up. As a degreed meteorologist, it absolutely saddens me to see all this crap going around.
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Excuse me, what? Roundabouts?? I hate the blasted things but don't blame them for twisters. I don't want to be on this planet anymore. Wow.
 
JPWX said:
Insert facepalm. While yes 2011 was La Nina (which is as far as I will go with bringing that year up), we are still in Neutral ENSO with expectation of going into a La Nina. When that happens though is unknown. Still though could make for a very interesting Fall severe weather season. I really haven't come across anything that dictates above normal or below normal tornado seasons during Neutral ENSO.

Don't forget about those people who believe roundabouts cause tornadoes due to how fast a car goes through them. I wish I was making that up. As a degreed meteorologist, it absolutely saddens me to see all this crap going around.
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I’m inclined to believe there will be a tornado in 2025.
 
JPWX said:
Don't forget about those people who believe roundabouts cause tornadoes due to how fast a car goes through them. I wish I was making that up. As a degreed meteorologist, it absolutely saddens me to see all this crap going around.
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Oh, I can see you're already aware of Florida Man's underrated rival, Pennsylvania Man:
triblive.com

Pennsylvania man says rise in tornadoes caused by traffic circles

The Keystone State has had more than the expected number of tornadoes so far this year and explanations often involve El Niño or climate change. But at least one resident of the northeast corner of Pennsylvania is blaming them on something else: traffic circles. A news program on WNEP-TV in
triblive.com triblive.com
 
JPWX said:
Insert facepalm. While yes 2011 was La Nina (which is as far as I will go with bringing that year up), we are still in Neutral ENSO with expectation of going into a La Nina. When that happens though is unknown. Still though could make for a very interesting Fall severe weather season. I really haven't come across anything that dictates above normal or below normal tornado seasons during Neutral ENSO.

Don't forget about those people who believe roundabouts cause tornadoes due to how fast a car goes through them. I wish I was making that up. As a degreed meteorologist, it absolutely saddens me to see all this crap going around.
Click to expand...

I believe we are pretty comfortably into La Nina now, only Nino 4 region is higher than -0.5 and it's at -0.4.

The roundabouts are clearly enhancing the La Nina this year

cdas-sflux_ssta_global_1.png
 
Jacob said:
I believe we are pretty comfortably into La Nina now, only Nino 4 region is higher than -0.5 and it's at -0.4.

The roundabouts are clearly enhancing the La Nina this year

cdas-sflux_ssta_global_1.png
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Yep. Definitely those roundabouts. Need to reduce our roundabout footprint too
 
SPC Day 4-8 Discussion: "Richer low-level moisture is not
forecast to return to the entire Gulf Basin until Tuesday/D8. This
may result in limited inland moisture and instability Monday/D7 and
Tuesday D8, particularly if the trough follows some of the more
progressive guidance. However, if return flow continues for a longer
period before the primary trough ejects, a greater severe weather
threat is possible, but it would likely be beyond Tuesday/D8."
 

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JPWX said:
SPC Day 4-8 Discussion: "Richer low-level moisture is not
forecast to return to the entire Gulf Basin until Tuesday/D8. This
may result in limited inland moisture and instability Monday/D7 and
Tuesday D8, particularly if the trough follows some of the more
progressive guidance. However, if return flow continues for a longer
period before the primary trough ejects, a greater severe weather
threat is possible, but it would likely be beyond Tuesday/D8."
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aaaaaaaaand here we go….. Maybe….. lol

I guess I will turn on the account notifications for @NWSSPC on Twitter
 
JPWX said:
SPC Day 4-8 Discussion: "Richer low-level moisture is not
forecast to return to the entire Gulf Basin until Tuesday/D8. This
may result in limited inland moisture and instability Monday/D7 and
Tuesday D8, particularly if the trough follows some of the more
progressive guidance. However, if return flow continues for a longer
period before the primary trough ejects, a greater severe weather
threat is possible, but it would likely be beyond Tuesday/D8."
Click to expand...
 
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