Severe Threat May 15-16, 2025

[172556]

Somerset fire just called over the scanner "movie theater collapse with entrapment".

Edit: They cleared it as collapse but everyone is out.

 

[TH2002]

Since all the political nonsense started after I left the thread, I’m coming back now. Maybe my presence here acts as an antidote to out-of-place political discussions idk

 

[RFD66]

It has nothing to do with politics for me. I'm no trump fan. The assertion that a tore wasn't issued tonight because there was a shortage of interns and probationary employees in Jackson, MO is patently false. Staffing at NWS offices has been an issue long before trump was elected. People here who know the truth...they know. We need to stop hijacking important breaking weather threads to take political pot shots.

Totally agree.

 

[treypops]

TOR just popped off on one of the Arkansas storms.
View attachment 42032

Yeah kinda out of nowhere

 

[UpperLevelLOL]

Today would’ve verified a high risk most likely

 

[UpperLevelLOL]

 

[Clancy]

Looks like the prolific Somerset-London-Manchester storm might be weakening.

 

[atrainguy]

So here's where it apparently went through, cinema on the left and Impact Collision on the right.



Area as a whole -

 

[172556]

Somerset fire just called over the scanner "movie theater collapse with entrapment".

Edit: They cleared it as collapse but everyone is out.

Updated this as they've cleared and verified no entrapments.

 

[treypops]

TOR just popped off on one of the Arkansas storms.
View attachment 42032

Pretty broad rotation. An inflow notch is apparent still but I don't see anything in velocity scans overly concerning with this storm....for now.

 

[Clancy]

Tornado Warnings for the Somerset-London-Manchester storm have expired. Replaced by an SVR + tornado possible tag. Same goes for the storm to its west.

 

[Clancy]

Small SVA issued for parts of Arkansas, Mississippi.

Storm Prediction Center Severe Thunderstorm Watch 274

Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.

www.spc.noaa.gov

 

[treypops]

Pretty broad rotation. An inflow notch is apparent still but I don't see anything in velocity scans overly concerning with this storm....for now.

Aaand TOR is gone

 

[NorthGaWeather]

Hopefully they can bring in additional airlift from nearby districts. Medical helis are super important in rural or hard-to-reach areas. They still serve their purpose and we see them often flying out here in the Atlanta area.

Thankfully, Lexington is close and they have some good facilities to include a children’s hospital.

 

[Brice W]

Welp. I’m gonna close the curtains for tonight. I’ll check back tomorrow. Stay safe guys.

 

[Maxis_s]

Welp. I’m gonna close the curtains for tonight. I’ll check back tomorrow. Stay safe guys.

Same here. Considering my luck, we'll have another strong tornado while I'm gone. Hopefully that doesn't happen... again

 

[Clancy]

For the first time in a while, no TORs, TORRs, TORPs or TOREs. Just a smattering of SVRs.

 

[Clancy]

Main focus for convection overall will probably shift into TN and northern MS. Currently, hodographs are fairly curved, but they're expected to become increasingly linear with time. Best chance for tornadoes from the QLCS/MCS activity would probably be AR/TN/MS triple point for the next several hours. After that, predominantly a damaging wind event with some embedded tornadoes perhaps. Unique factor here will be instability on the order of 1,000-1,500 j/kg across large swaths of the Southeast all the way through sunrise, which will keep storms going for a while.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[tempostorm]

Main focus for convection overall will probably shift into TN and northern MS. Currently, hodographs are fairly curved, but they're expected to become increasingly linear with time. Best chance for tornadoes from the QLCS/MCS activity would probably be AR/TN/MS triple point for the next several hours. After that, predominantly a damaging wind event with some embedded tornadoes perhaps. Unique factor here will be instability on the order of 1,000-1,500 j/kg across large swaths of the Southeast all the way through sunrise, which will keep storms going for a while.
View attachment 42039

do you think that line stays severe all the way to ATL area?