Severe Threat May 15-16, 2025

[DanLarsen34]

I think we’re about to get another major tornado south of Nashville, IN.

 

[AJS]

Harrisburg storm looks like it may try to do it again.

 

[UpperLevelLOL]

 

[tornado examiner]

Still no super long tracker’s

 

[US_Highway15]

We’ve got the final SPC update coming shortly and I wouldn’t be surprised if they considered upgrading to a high risk given the number of discrete tornadic supercells we have now.

I understand why you mention that, but I don't think it matters at this point. It changes nothing in my opinion.

 

[AJS]

Still no super long tracker’s

That Bowling Green cell absolutely has the hallmark look of being a long tracker.

 

[US_Highway15]

Does anyone think (this is most likely premature) that this could get anywhere near a super outbreak in the end? Is the ceiling that high?

No

 

[tornado examiner]

The Nashville cell has produced our third pink debris ball

 

[Brice W]

Still no super long tracker’s

Doesn’t matter, violent tornadoes are more than enough like we’re having unfold.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Debris ball south of Nashville Indiana

 

[UK_EF4]

In general tornadogenesis has occurred today where the RFD has been able to surge forward, resulting in strong but often shorter lived tornadoes.

I think this will be less and less the case, both as low level wind shear improves with the LLJ - which is really starting to just kick in now. And also as convective coverage increases with the approaching shortwave there is more material to induce these storm scale interactions. So I think a window for 1-3 long tracked intense tornadoes exist on top of these shorter lived intense ones.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Guys this is the most reflectivity debris balls I've ever seen in one day.

 

[Kds86z]

Outbreak to expand south?

 

[Shakespeare 2016]

Still no super long tracker’s

What do you consider a super long tracker?

 

[Ozonelayer]

Guys this is the most reflectivity debris balls I've ever seen in one day.

It's April 2nd all over again...

 

[UK_EF4]

Both the cell crossing into IN now and the one south of Bloomington... wow.

 

[ColdFront]

Still no super long tracker’s

???? Can we not do this right now

 

[tornado examiner]

What do you consider a super long tracker?

I uh, probably shouldn’t have said that.
But like, it’s hard to say that because it’s like…100 plus miles

 

[AJS]

Jesus…

 

[jiharris0220]