• Welcome to TalkWeather!
    We see you lurking around TalkWeather! Take the extra step and join us today to view attachments, see less ads and maybe even join the discussion.
    CLICK TO JOIN TALKWEATHER

Severe WX Severe Threat - 3/7

Bama Ravens

Member
Messages
1,207
Reaction score
648
Location
Morris, AL (Northern Jefferson County)
From BMX:
The lack of rain and strong warm advection ahead of the cold front will push temperatures
through the 60s and into the 70s by early afternoon. Surface
dewpoints will also rise throughout the day with lower 60s spreading
into west Alabama by early afternoon. Strong wind fields from the
surface through 850mb will result in good speed and directional
shear in the lowest 3 kilometers. Forecast soundings across west
Alabama this afternoon indicate favorable curvature in the hodograph
to support the possibility of tornadoes, with 0-3km SRH values 300-
400 m2/s2. The best instability and CAPE will be across
Mississippi, but most of the hi-res models forecast CAPE values
across west-central Alabama in the 500-700 j/kg range this
afternoon. The Storm Prediction has upgraded the marginal risk area
across west Alabama to a slight risk.
 

Kory

Member
Messages
4,928
Reaction score
2,119
Location
Tuscaloosa, Alabama
To be honest, moisture recovery looks better than forecast by the models. 60 degree dew points well past I-20 in MS and that will be spreading east. Still think this is a largely a damaging wind threat....
 

Bama Ravens

Member
Messages
1,207
Reaction score
648
Location
Morris, AL (Northern Jefferson County)
I could be wrong, but it seems like DPs in north-central AL would have a hard time recovering given that they won't have a lot of time. My dew point where I live just north of Birmingham is only 57 and the temp is 59.

Bill Murray also seems to think that it will be hard for the better few points to work in here
 

Bama Ravens

Member
Messages
1,207
Reaction score
648
Location
Morris, AL (Northern Jefferson County)
And now the slight risk has been trimmed back, almost totally out of Alabama.

AL_swody1.png
 

WesL

"Bill, I'm talkin' imminent rueage"
Staff member
Administrator
Moderator
Sustaining Member
Messages
3,344
Reaction score
2,614
Location
Fayetteville, AR
Special Affiliations
  1. SKYWARN® Volunteer
This is a good thing because we are lacking some radar power in Alabama and Mississippi


==================
NOUS64 KJAN 021748
FTMGWX
Message Date: Mar 07 2017 06:26:11
All users of KGWX radar: The KGWX radar still remains inoperational and CBM tech
s are awaiting arrival of parts,that will hopefully arrive later today, in order
to fix the radar. We will update the progress of the situation later today when
more is known. KJAN staff.
==================

NOUS64 KHUN 071531
FTMHTX
Message Date: Mar 07 2017 15:32:43
KHTX is now operational and running at about 60% of optimal power. Technicians w
ill finalize repair work at the site on Wednesday to bring the system back to op
timal settings.
==================
 

Lori

Administrator
Staff member
Administrator
Moderator
Messages
1,035
Reaction score
653
Location
Vandiver, AL
Special Affiliations
  1. SKYWARN® Volunteer
Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Northern Shelby Co (AL) and Southeastern Jefferson till 3:45
 

Lori

Administrator
Staff member
Administrator
Moderator
Messages
1,035
Reaction score
653
Location
Vandiver, AL
Special Affiliations
  1. SKYWARN® Volunteer
It's getting dark up in here (Pelham) but I think the worse of it is north of me....I think
 

Lori

Administrator
Staff member
Administrator
Moderator
Messages
1,035
Reaction score
653
Location
Vandiver, AL
Special Affiliations
  1. SKYWARN® Volunteer
And the Severe for Jefferson and Shelby has already been cancelled, I feel bad for the kids getting out of school and especially dropped off from buses, the rain is very heavy!
 
Back
Top