Yep, i got a lump in my throat looking at the HWRF. These past few seasons have had rapidly intensifying hurricanes til landfall. This might have the same fate. Watch out NOLA...models are inching west.Intensity forecast models show a quick spike to cat 1-2 status. I wouldn’t be shocked if we reach major. Intensification looks to occur all the way up to landfall.
I don't think this storm will be any issue for the levees. It will be heavy rainfall to see if the pumps can keep up (they can only handle 1" of rain the first hour and 0.5" every hour after that).As we recall, Katrina weakened to a CAT 3 at landfall and the center went East of New Orleans. This time Sally likely will go west of New Orleans and that means the worst side with storm surge. This will be a big test for the rebuilt levees and pump system.
Center reformation beneath the MLC this morning. It’s about to go to town. Model trends have shifting things East away from NOLA but implicating more of the MS gulf coast and even Mobile.
Yeah, can’t really go north right now. Still a big ridge to the north of Sally. 06z euro shows it drifting almost due west to the Mouth of the River and then lifting north into Harrison County MS.Yep, radar presentation is looking better and better now that it appears to have relocated under the MLC. Looks like it has caused a nice jog N too, but that could just be wobbling while it is forming.