18ZGFS is yet another scenario - Imelda never makes landfall, Humberto catches her right before and pulls her out to sea.
-
Welcome to TalkWeather! We see you lurking around TalkWeather! Take the extra step and join us today to view attachments, see less ads and maybe even join the discussion. CLICK TO JOIN TALKWEATHER
Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine and Hurricane Humberto
- Thread starter wx_guy
- Start date
N0mz
Member
Humberto now a 4. I'd give it better than 50% odds to reach cat 5
TornadoFan
Member
18Z ECMWF follows the GFS, Imelda stays really undeveloped almost all the way to the SC coast, then gets pulled out by Humberto. I like this - hope this trend of no landfall scenarios continues!
I'm just having a hard time believing that with every other storm overperforming in intensity that Imelda is going to struggle as much as forecast. Maybe the models are thinking it will suck in some of the slug of dry air currently in the northern Gulf?
TornadoFan
Member
And there we have Category 4 Humberto with 145 MPH sustained winds.
Kds86z
Member
Wow #3 since 1939. Official
Humberto has had a 70mph (75 to 145) wind increase in 18 hours and a 50mbar (990 to 940) pressure drop as well.
Interestingly, Humberto 2025 has had a bigger wind increase in 18 hours than Humberto 2007 did. Hurricane Humberto in 2007 only saw a 50mph wind increase in 18 hours.
Interestingly, Humberto 2025 has had a bigger wind increase in 18 hours than Humberto 2007 did. Hurricane Humberto in 2007 only saw a 50mph wind increase in 18 hours.
Last edited:
00ZGFS coming in. Closer to the FL coast, but then a hard right turn out to sea off the GA coast as Humberto pulls Imelda out to dance.