Severe WX March 30-31, 2020 Severe Threat

[Taylor Campbell]

Don't give up on this one. This being a significant event is still a very real possibility.

 

[Scott81]

This is for Tuesday, correct?

 

[Taylor Campbell]

This is for Tuesday, correct?

Yes.

 

[Kory]

There will be a small overlapping corridor along the warm front by the SLP that may be able to enhance the tornado threat. This is becoming more apparent as mesoscale models come into play. But the threat will be south of 20/59.

 

[Kory]

I think we have a tor in Southern MS.

 

[KoD]

I think we have a tor in Southern MS.

The rotation on that MS cell looks like it could be on the ground or drop one at any minute.

 

[Kory]

The rotation on that MS cell looks like it could be on the ground or drop one at any minute.

Debris signature. On a beeline for Mobile.

 

[Kory]

We had some wind damage in Tuscaloosa this morning. Trees down by University Mall.

 

[bwalk]

It's definitely on the ground & causing trouble. CC drop.

 

[Taylor Campbell]

That was significant. I just saw several trees uprooted, snapped, and an outbuilding destroyed.

 

[warneagle]

A couple more areas of strong rotation further north along the line as well.

 

[bwalk]

I'm seeing two new tornado warnings for South Alabama.

 

[bwalk]

Tornado Warning for...
Northern Baldwin County in southwestern Alabama...
Southwestern Escambia County in south central Alabama...

* Until 1045 AM CDT.
=================================================================
Tornado Warning for...
Northwestern Escambia County in south central Alabama...
Southwestern Conecuh County in south central Alabama...

* Until 1045 AM CDT.

 

[bwalk]

Area of strengthening rotation NW of Flomaton. (relative strengthening)

 

[bwalk]

Folks in the Brewton area need to pay attention shortly.

 

[bwalk]

Strongest rotation 'should' pass just north of the city.

 

[MichelleH]

From James Spann:

A confirmed tornado is crossing US 231 in the northern part of the city of Troy

 

[andyhb]

New MCD suggests an upgrade in tornado probabilities is coming for AL/GA.

As such, and with 0-1km shear supportive of this tendency for low-level rotation, tornado probability will be increased to 10%/ENH risk in the upcoming 1630Z Day 1 outlook update.

 

[andyhb]

Troy tornado from the municipal airport. A lot of debris in the air.

 

[TornadoFan]

Troy tornado from the municipal airport. A lot of debris in the air.

Reminds me of the Jonesboro tornado.