- Messages
- 6,440
- Location
- Birmingham
I think the SPC guys jumped the gun again on risk area lol. Looking at 09z rap and 06z HRRR the low pressure may cross through the middle of Alabama.
-
Welcome to TalkWeather! We see you lurking around TalkWeather! Take the extra step and join us today to view attachments, see less ads and maybe even join the discussion. CLICK TO JOIN TALKWEATHER
January 27th deep south severe wx
- Thread starter UncleJuJu98
- Start date
KevinH
Member
- Messages
- 2,511
- Location
- West Central GA
- Messages
- 6,440
- Location
- Birmingham
25 lolRandom question that has nothing to do with this post: How old are you?
Justin Hindman Hindy
Member
- Messages
- 150
- Location
- Trussville
He is 98 years old lol
- Messages
- 6,440
- Location
- Birmingham
I'm smelling a dud. Id expect a lot of that slight to go away or shift a bunch lol
Yeah, just looks like a wet mess for now.
KevinH
Member
- Messages
- 2,511
- Location
- West Central GA
When are you going to learn not to do this when Dixie starts to wake up? LOL
wx_guy
Member
- Messages
- 1,033
- Location
- United States
- HAM Callsign
- KO4ZGH
- Special Affiliations
- SKYWARN® Volunteer
- ARRL Member
The most recent SREF shows only a 50% chance of STP > 1 in that narrow Slight region. Yeah...this feels like a non-event lol
- Messages
- 6,440
- Location
- Birmingham
The guys a SPC are gunna start getting gun shy with issuing these risks with the last few being non events with day 4+ risk outlines lol
KevinH
Member
- Messages
- 2,511
- Location
- West Central GA
- Messages
- 2,838
- Location
- Smithville MS
Whoever Linda is, I hope she is alright..... LOL!
I hate to be around Gadsden...
- Messages
- 6,440
- Location
- Birmingham
The HRRR is still really bullish on instability and parameters even with the rain shield. I'm not sure I'm 100% buying it yet. But tommorow maybe a chase day for me.
RRFS has quicker decay of storms to the south and a longer period of destabilizion. Complex forecast coming up tommorow. all eyes on mesoscale evolution
WRF's runs are not impressive. Going to give the HRRR and RRFS some space see more consistency throughout the afternoon and I'll get on board.
These quick recovery events are hard to pull off.
RRFS has quicker decay of storms to the south and a longer period of destabilizion. Complex forecast coming up tommorow. all eyes on mesoscale evolution
WRF's runs are not impressive. Going to give the HRRR and RRFS some space see more consistency throughout the afternoon and I'll get on board.
These quick recovery events are hard to pull off.
Last edited:
- Messages
- 6,440
- Location
- Birmingham
Kevin I think Linda may have jinxed us this time again as well
Last edited:
- Messages
- 1,338
- Location
- Cullman, AL
Is Linda Karen's mother?
KevinH
Member
- Messages
- 2,511
- Location
- West Central GA
Possibly… but they ARE related lol