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January 23-25th Winter Wx

Local FOX5 met posting graphics showing 1.1” of ice for Atlanta on Facebook. Not sure what he’s looking at (I imagine this evening’s GFS) but in my opinion, inadvisable to be putting out stuff like that 48+ hours out from a storm when we haven’t even gotten into the short-range models yet. WSB still playing the long game; haven’t seen specific accumulation numbers from them yet. Interested to see what they show on the 11PM news. Younger brothers hoping for enough to get them out of school on Monday lol. The rest of us would like to keep power.
 
18Z Euro says blowtorch warm nose... does not follow the GFS south.
View attachment 50106
Cat Thumbs Down GIF
 
do we need to transition to a severe weather threat thread? sheesh
the euro is starting to make me worry about violent wedges yeah yeah next week for sure so I got that good tomorrow and Friday. I will be picking up the pieces of what used to be my life before closing so trying to put everything together. I gotta get here important stuff out coming down here with me. I’ve been working.
 
Alabama will instead get icenadoes or snownadoes
 
Euro does inch south with the colder air on the 18z run at 7am EST Sunday. BHAM is 59 on the 12z, 54 on the 18z. Atlanta 34 vs 33, Columbus 52 vs 49.
 
NAM is way north and warmer. Disclaimer, it’s the NAM but not great tn/al line south
 
Just a reminder that the NAM has a warm and amped bias. Something to keep in mind. The latest ICON run is more in line with what I'm expecting for CAD areas. Models often struggle with CAD, and underestimate its reach. It happens during both severe weather and winter weather seasons.
 
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