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January 23-25th Winter Wx

KevinH said:
I am concerned about the ice. Is there run to run consistency across models for the ice accumulation? Also, I saw this:
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Yes, but there is a definitive north trend underway that may make the forecast more challenging. CAD still shows up well and allows for a sleet storm though. NBM probs are pretty high for >0.25"/0.50" ice accumulations. This is for North Georgia.
 
Any model that pushes the 32 line well north of me is my friend, but also the enemy of those in the Tennessee Valley really. Just need to put that axis a little further west if we do get a warm nose. I'll take any last minute fail modes I can get hahaha
 
Equus said:
Any model that pushes the 32 line well north of me is my friend, but also the enemy of those in the Tennessee Valley really. Just need to put that axis a little further west if we do get a warm nose. I'll take any last minute fail modes I can get hahaha
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last minute? it's still 4 days away lol.
 
Figured I'd make an appearance on TW for this thread. For my Mid-Atlantic friends, I forecasted 4-8 with upside for the storm but there's still a lot to iron out. In the 00z suite, the ceiling probably got a little higher while it introduced some mixing concerns.
 
Yeah the 00z Euro pretty much keeps the ice over Muscle Shoals and points north and west, not at all going to buy that much of a shift just yet but at least it brings a little hope we can still shift north with some of it. Just don't see any way we have surface temperatures that high across north central AL during this
 
Is the EURO on something, or onto something? This has to be erroneous, correct? It pretty much nullifies much of the severe event for my area (just south of ATL). Granted it is just one run, however the stark contrast from the last few is curious.


I Dont Believe You Will Ferrell GIF
 
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Snipeslayer said:
Is the EURO on something, or onto something? This has to be erroneous, correct? It pretty much nullifies much of the severe event for my area (just south of ATL). Granted it is just one run, however the stark contrast from the last few is curious.
I Dont Believe You Will Ferrell GIF
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There's some juice to this northward shift. Nothing close to concrete at all, but it's not completely fake.
 
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