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Severe WX January 10, 2020 Severe Weather Reports and Nowcasts

WesL

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Purpose of this thread is the capture real-time weather warning information and storm reports for the January 10, 2020 severe weather threat. Because this is a multi-day threat, please use the sister forecast thread for information related to areas not currently experiencing severe weather. Moderators will be moving posts to the correct threads as needed.

We also request your feedback on this format going forward. Please leave your comments at https://talkweather.com/threads/proposal-for-events-split-nowcasting-forecasting.1413/

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WesL

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THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN DELAWARE COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...
SOUTHEASTERN MAYES COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...
EAST CENTRAL WAGONER COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...
NORTHWESTERN CHEROKEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 1215 PM CST.



1578678014215.png
 

JayF

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I would watch the storm that NW of Eufaula.
 

Equus

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Was not expecting such early activity in OK but noticed last night NAM had an unusually early day corridor of pretty decent parameters there so looks like that's actually happening
 
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WesL

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...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 145 PM CST FOR
SOUTHEASTERN WAGONER...WEST CENTRAL CHEROKEE AND NORTH CENTRAL
MUSKOGEE COUNTIES...

AT 112 PM CST, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH STRONG LOW LEVEL ROTATION
THAT COULD PRODUCE A TORNADO AT ANY TIME WAS LOCATED OVER MUSKOGEE,
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.
 

JayF

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...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 145 PM CST FOR
SOUTHEASTERN WAGONER...WEST CENTRAL CHEROKEE AND NORTH CENTRAL
MUSKOGEE COUNTIES...

AT 112 PM CST, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH STRONG LOW LEVEL ROTATION
THAT COULD PRODUCE A TORNADO AT ANY TIME WAS LOCATED OVER MUSKOGEE,
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.
I was watching that storm and knew it was strengthening. Step away and bam, tornado.
 
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WesL

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Richardjacks

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Tornado watch issued for the Dallas metro area and parts of north Texas.
outlines of the counties contained in it.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
High (70%)​
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Mod (50%)​
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
High (90%)​
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Low (20%)​
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
High (80%)​
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
High (80%)​
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (>95%)​
 

JayF

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AT 122 PM CST, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NOWATA, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45
MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE
DAMAGE IS LIKELY.
 

KoD

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Those are pretty high probs on that tor watch. I'm afraid they'll be even higher out east.
 

JayF

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They just extended out that Tornado Warning for Cherokee.

/O.NEW.KTSA.TO.W.0005.200110T1931Z-200110T2015Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
131 PM CST FRI JAN 10 2020

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN DELAWARE COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...
SOUTHEASTERN MAYES COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...
NORTHERN CHEROKEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 215 PM CST.
 

JayF

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That is going to be a hot spot for a little while.

/O.NEW.KTSA.TO.W.0006.200110T1937Z-200110T2015Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
137 PM CST FRI JAN 10 2020

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EASTERN MCINTOSH COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...
NORTHERN PITTSBURG COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...
SOUTH CENTRAL MUSKOGEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 215 PM CST.
 

JayF

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
142 PM CST FRI JAN 10 2020

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN CEDAR COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI...
SOUTHEASTERN VERNON COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 215 PM CST.
 

JayF

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There is obvious rotation with this storm near Warner, Oklahoma.

Warner OK Tornado Warning.jpg
 
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