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Tropical Storm Isaias

WesL

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Isaias regains Hurricane status, nears landfall off the coast of North Carolina
 

bjdeming

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Looking at the current forecast track, I'm getting some Irene flashbacks. I was up in that part of the country in 2011, and this is what that "I" storm did to the local waterfall (Mohawk River), which usually looks like this: https://www.usgs.gov/media/webcams/cohoes-falls-ny



We had no damage, though if the river had gotten a little higher . . . Just to the east, Vermont got hit pretty bad. Think New Hampshire did, too.

I hope that doesn't happen again. Isaias hasn't gotten as intense as Irene was at its peak, but the flooding news now is already bad.

Of course, this is a serious situation all along the coast, but you always tend to focus on the familiar.
 
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Taylor Campbell

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An impressive tornado producer.
 
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Taylor Campbell

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New York City and several other highly populated areas under 10% tornado probs today.
 

warneagle

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Looks like Dover may have taken an almost direct hit, clear TDS as it passed over.
 

Lori

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This storm has not produced the usual spin-ups, the tornado damage in NC is quite extensive!!
 

Equus

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Absolutely bonkers wind profile from KDIX with those bands. How about 1,000 m2s2 0-1km SRH

unknown-5.png
 

Mike S

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persistent little storm. Well into the northern latitudes and still a tropical storm. Should begin transitioning in the early hours of Wednesday.

Tropical Storm Isaias Discussion Number 31
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092020
500 PM EDT Tue Aug 04 2020

NOAA Doppler radar data from Islip, New York (KOKX), indicated
70-kt winds just off the surface south of Long Island earlier this
afternoon, along with buoy reports from New York Harbor Inlet
(44065) that supported lowering the intensity to 55 kt, so that
value is used for this advisory.

The motion remains north-northeastward or 020/35 kt. Isaias will
continue moving north-northeastward through tonight, accompanied by
a gradual decrease in forward speed. In 12 hours or, the cyclone is
expected to interact with a larger extratropical over southeastern
Canada and degenerate into a post-tropical cyclone near western
Maine. By 24 hours, Isaias is expected to transition to an
extratropical low, and dissipate or become absorbed by the
aforementioned larger extratropical low. The new NHC track forecast
is just an extension of the previous advisory, and lies very close
to the tightly clustered consensus track models.

Isaias will continue to gradually spin down and lose its tropical
characteristics. The precipitation has decreased in size and also
has become more stratiform in appearance, which are indications that
the cyclone is gradually weakening. This downward trend should
continue until Isais becomes an extratropical low in 12-24 hours.

There also remains a risk of tornadoes across portions of New
England this afternoon and evening

Key Messages:

1. Tropical storm force winds that could cause tree damage and power
outages will continue to spread across New England tonight.

2. Heavy rainfall near the path of Isaias, through the Hudson River
Valley, is likely to result in flash flooding, particularly through
urban areas and the surrounding terrain of the Catskills, Adirondack
and Green Mountain Ranges through Tuesday night. Scattered minor to
moderate river flooding is likely across portions of the
Mid-Atlantic. Quick-responding rivers in the Northeast will also be
susceptible to minor and possible moderate river flooding.

3. The threat of tornadoes will spread into New England this
afternoon and evening.
 

WesL

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Lots of power outages across the region...

 
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