- Messages
- 4,514
- Reaction score
- 9,046
- Location
- California, United States
- Special Affiliations
- SKYWARN® Volunteer
Yup, it's a monster. Look at that pinhole eye!
-
Welcome to TalkWeather! We see you lurking around TalkWeather! Take the extra step and join us today to view attachments, see less ads and maybe even join the discussion. CLICK TO JOIN TALKWEATHER -
Good news! The theme that was recently experiencing issues is back and better than ever. We've set it as the new default, and you can also choose a dark mode! Feel free to switch back to your favorite theme anytime by using the theme selector by clicking this message
Hurricane Hurricane Milton
- Thread starter KevinH
- Start date
TornadoFan
Member
Evan
Member
For reference...Michael briefly attained a 7.3 for a single scan. Milton has been 7.3 or higher for 13 different scans. A raw 7.8 is simply unheard of.
lake.effect
Member
Should have a new center pass in 10-15 minutes. Place your bets
891mb/190mph
891mb/190mph
tornado examiner
Member
When does the next hurricane advisory release?
TornadoFan
Member
So the higher the T number, the more intense it is?
lake.effect
Member
Here we go...
Yes
Only 200-400 feet above the surface. The eye still looks like its contracting. Absolutely incredible! Milton might creep up on Gilbert.
Evan
Member
Exactly. I don't know of an Atlantic storm that has hit a raw 7.8 before. Storms I'm aware of that have hit that high are Haiyan and Patricia in the Pacific. Patricia got as high as an 8.3. Haiyan went above an 8 and due to that happening the ADT was reformulated to take into account storms getting that high. Not sure we have an accurate raw number for Haiyan.
Patricia got as high as an 8.2 "adjusted" T number. Currently, Milton is at a 7.3 adjusted due to a 1.3T per 6 hour constraint imposed by the Advanced Dvorak Technique. Same thing happened to Patricia and other rapidly intensifying storms.
I'm just not aware of an Atlantic storm that has gotten this high before. Wilma/Rita pre-dated the modern ADT formulation.
DUUUVAAAAALLLLLLLLLLLL
Member
I’ve never seen a pinhole eye that small and continue to shrink. Newest frame appears to have closed. But it’s still a dot.
Looks like pressure may have went up a little bit
tornadowatch211
Member
This has a low chance it wont break Wilma then. but most likely it will.
Last edited:
Vorticity
Member
BULLETIN
Hurricane Milton Intermediate Advisory Number 11A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024
700 PM CDT Mon Oct 07 2024
...CENTRAL PRESSURE IN THE EYE OF MILTON HAS FALLEN TO A NEAR RECORD
LOW...
...MILTON POSES AN EXTREMELY SERIOUS THREAT TO FLORIDA AND
RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO FOLLOW THE ORDERS OF LOCAL OFFICIALS...
SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.9N 90.4W
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM NW OF PROGRESO MEXICO
ABOUT 650 MI...1045 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...180 MPH...285 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...897 MB...26.49 INCHES
Hurricane Milton Intermediate Advisory Number 11A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024
700 PM CDT Mon Oct 07 2024
...CENTRAL PRESSURE IN THE EYE OF MILTON HAS FALLEN TO A NEAR RECORD
LOW...
...MILTON POSES AN EXTREMELY SERIOUS THREAT TO FLORIDA AND
RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO FOLLOW THE ORDERS OF LOCAL OFFICIALS...
SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.9N 90.4W
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM NW OF PROGRESO MEXICO
ABOUT 650 MI...1045 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...180 MPH...285 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...897 MB...26.49 INCHES
- Messages
- 733
- Reaction score
- 2,347
- Location
- Mississippi State University
- Special Affiliations
- SKYWARN® Volunteer
Looks like we're sticking with 897mb as the official number
lake.effect
Member
Wind field is gradually expanding already. The EWRC will only accelerate that.
This will not be a "small storm" at landfall.
This will not be a "small storm" at landfall.
Milton has the lowest Gulf hurricane pressure since Rita and if it achieves max winds between 185 to 190mph in the Gulf, it would be the first hurricane at that intensity in the Gulf since Camille got downgraded to 175mph. Gonna be close to see if it surpasses Rita's pressure of 895mbar.