Tropical Storm Fred

[Mike S]

Fred is officially here.

...TROPICAL STORM FRED DEVELOPS JUST SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO...
...HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS SPREADING ACROSS PUERTO RICO
OVERNIGHT AND OVER HISPANIOLA ON WEDNESDAY...

Tropical Storm Francine Public Advisory

 

[Mike S]

Fred is going to make a bee line for the beach house we're renting in September. Let's hope this is them getting their tropical activity out of the way early.

 

[WesL]

Fred is just moving along.....

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Fred Intermediate Advisory Number 7A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062021
800 AM AST Wed Aug 11 2021

...CENTER OF FRED JUST SOUTH OF THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 69.1W
ABOUT 50 MI...95 KM SE OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

Not much changed with the cone...

 

[WesL]

The good news is that Fred is being ripped apart. Hopefully, that will reduce the threat for the gulf.

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Fred Advisory Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062021
1100 AM EDT Thu Aug 12 2021

...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORT FRED REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...
...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 74.4W
ABOUT 80 MI...125 KM W OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND
ABOUT 230 MI...365 KM E OF CAMAGUEY CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1013 MB...29.92 INCHES

 

[WesL]

Just on a slow ride at this point. Looking a westerly wobble in the Gulf now which basically gives the entire state of Alabama more fun.


BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Fred Advisory Number 16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062021
1100 AM EDT Fri Aug 13 2021

...CENTER OF FRED MOVING ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF CUBA...
...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.3N 78.4W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM NNW OF CAMAGUEY CUBA
ABOUT 270 MI...430 KM SE OF KEY WEST FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1013 MB...29.92 INCHES

 

[akt1985]

According to the latest advisory, Fred has degenerated to an open wave. The system might become a tropical storm again over the Gulf but for now is dead.

 

[Lori]

Fred has reorganized back to a TS and wants to visit Sweet Home Alabama!!

 

[WesL]

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Fred Advisory Number 24
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062021
1100 AM EDT Sun Aug 15 2021

...FRED AGAIN A TROPICAL STORM OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.1N 84.9W
ABOUT 195 MI...320 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM SSE OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

Lovely...

 

[Mike S]

Fred is a nearly 60mph tropical storm as he approaches the Florida Gulf Coast. He's getting his act together but I don't know if he has time to reach Hurricane strength.

I'm watching a couple of webcams this morning as Fred approaches.

St. George Island

St. George Island Live Cam

Live web cam from St. George Island, Florida. Located at the Blue Parrot Oceanfront Cafe and Restaurant.

www.blueparrotsgi.com

Panama City at the Days Inn

Our LIVE Beach Cam - PCB FL | Days Inn Panama City Beach Florida

Beach Cam | Pool Deck Cam | Waterfall Pool Cam Days Inn LIVE Beach Cam from Panama City Beach, FL Enjoy a view of “The World’s Most Beautiful Beaches” from atop the Days Inn Resort in Panama City Beach, Florida! If you like the view from our live beach cam,[...]

daysinnbeach.com

 

[Jacob]

Little surprised the NHC hasn’t pulled the trigger on a hurricane watch/warning for Fred. Not sure if it’ll get there or not but looks like it’ll be awfully close to if not a hurricane by landfall.

 

[Mike S]

Little surprised the NHC hasn’t pulled the trigger on a hurricane watch/warning for Fred. Not sure if it’ll get there or not but looks like it’ll be awfully close to if not a hurricane by landfall.

Difficult situation I imagine. It seems as though it will run out of time though it is not out of the question it could reach Cat 1.

 

[WesL]

Just throwing this in here for refrence later....

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Fred Intermediate Advisory Number 27A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062021
700 AM CDT Mon Aug 16 2021

...HEAVY RAINFALL AND A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE EXPECTED ALONG THE
COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.6N 85.8W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES

 

[Mike S]

Conditions definitely deteriorating based on footage from the St. George Island camera.

 

[akt1985]

Winds up to 65 MPH now.

 

[warneagle]

Fred made landfall at 2:15 pm CDT near Cape San Blas with winds of 65 mph.

 

[Jacob]

Difficult situation I imagine. It seems as though it will run out of time though it is not out of the question it could reach Cat 1.

Yep, not going with the hurricane watch/warning was the right call. It making landfall a little further east helped ensure it ran out of time too.

 

[MattW]

It looks like Atlanta has escaped the worst of the forecast. Yesterday the models were saying up to 40mph wind gusts, but now most models are only showing about half that as Fred moves out.

 

[NXStumpy_Robothing]

It looks like Atlanta has escaped the worst of the forecast. Yesterday the models were saying up to 40mph wind gusts, but now most models are only showing about half that as Fred moves out.

Thankfully, the wind forecast did bust somewhat, but it's pretty clear that the flash flooding potential lived up to the expectation, unfortunately. IMBY I'm receiving a good amount of rain and some mild gusts, but downtown appears to have gotten more of both regardless.

In addition, some potent spin-up tornadoes have been occurring on the eastern side of the state and into South Carolina. Not a great way to start off the morning for them.