Hurricane Eta (2 Viewers)

[Dissident Aggressor]

Made this as soon as I saw the above image. If Eta isn't a Cat5 by now....

 

[bjdeming]

To preserve history for this thread...

While everybody's waiting, just to point out that Goni in the Pacific "only" got up to 8.0, I think.

 

[Evan]

927 mb pressure. 137 kt flight-level winds and 130 kt SFMR.

 

[Evan]

Amazing to see this:

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/29L-SCATT.GIF

 

[Evan]

Definitely a secondary eyewall forming. Satellite intensity estimates were rather overdone as per actual recon. But I see that as a win for the people of Nicaragua, so let's hope this storm struggles mightily with the additional eyewall and that the structure is undermined quickly.

 

[Kory]

I don’t think it’s done strengthening yet....this next pass will be telling.

 

[Kory]

This doesn’t seem to indicate an ERC.

 

[Kory]

Down 5mb between first and last pass. 155mph surface wind estimate to boot. 922mb.

 

[TornadoFan]

 

[WesL]

Hurricane Eta Advisory Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL292020
1000 PM EST Mon Nov 02 2020

...AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND THAT ETA HAS CONTINUED
TO RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN AS IT APPROACHES NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, CATASTROPHIC WINDS, FLASH FLOODING,
AND LANDSLIDES EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM EST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.1N 82.7W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM SSE OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM E OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 245 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...927 MB...27.38 INCHES

 

[KoD]

AF303 has turned around back to the US.. still experiencing issues it seems.

 

[Kory]

Eta is doing it’s best to avoid landfall. Looks like a stall or slight drift south. Was supposed to landfall 8 hours ago...

 

[Taylor Campbell]

Eta is doing it’s best to avoid landfall. Looks like a stall or slight drift south. Was supposed to landfall 8 hours ago...

Crazy!

 

[warneagle]

As a reference point for how crazy that rapid intensification was:

 

[WesL]

Hurricane Eta Intermediate Advisory Number 12A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL292020
100 PM EST Tue Nov 03 2020

...EYEWALL OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE ETA MOVING ONSHORE
ALONG THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, CATASTROPHIC WINDS, FLASH FLOODING,
AND LANDSLIDES EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM EST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 83.3W
ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM SSE OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES

 

[bjdeming]

It's awful, thinking about what's happening in Central America right now in this storm, so will just jump in and ask everyone what they expect to see later in the Gulf: a tropical or extratropical system?

 

[warneagle]

Video of flooding in northern Honduras.

 

[warneagle]

The Ulúa River in Honduras is at 15 meters, four meters higher than its peak flood during Mitch. The flooding in Central America right now is literally unprecedented.

 

[warneagle]

We're at 73 deaths from Eta right now: 50 in Guatemala, 13 in Honduras, 5 in Panama, 2 in Costa Rica, 2 in Nicaragua, and 1 in El Salvador.

 

[WesL]

Tropical Storm Eta Advisory Number 37
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL292020
1000 AM EST Mon Nov 09 2020

...ETA MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...
...GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS STILL OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM EST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.6N 83.4W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM WSW OF THE DRY TORTUGAS
ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM NNE OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 235 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES