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206mph wind gust with sustained winds of ~150mph on one station. From about 18 hours ago, surprised nobody posted this.
Fire now atop Hollywood Hills.
As far as I'm aware, the scale of these fires overall is an unprecedented event for the LA area; not sure if/when fires have occurred in this part of the region before. In any case, these are densely-populated places, including many vulnerable populations and historic areas.Holy crap. I can't remember a metro fire like this. I'm sure it has happened but this is just wild.
Good lord.
The SPC put out an Extremely Critical Fire Risk for that area for today:
View attachment 32698
It looks like it could continue through tomorrow:
View attachment 32699
And even Friday:
View attachment 32700
Although after that, the chance of fire-favorable weather drops precipitously (thankfully--knock on wood there!).
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 082138
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0338 PM CST Wed Jan 08 2025
Valid 101200Z - 161200Z
Fire weather concerns are expected to remain confined to the
southern CA coast through the extended period where dry, and at
times windy, conditions are expected to continue for the next week.
Elsewhere across the country, a combination of recent precipitation,
rain/snow chances, and cold temperatures should limit additional
fire concerns.
...D3/Fri and D6/Mon to D7/Tue - Southern California Coast...
Moderate easterly low to mid-level winds are expected to persist
from late D2/Thursday into early D3/Friday morning across far
southern CA as an upper shortwave trough slowly translates
east/southeast. 15-25 mph winds will likely be ongoing along the
western slopes of the coastal terrain at the start of the forecast
period. The ongoing offshore wind event has established a very dry
air mass along the southern CA coast that is expected to persist
through Friday. While winds are expected to diminish through the
day, a few hours of elevated to critical fire weather conditions
appear possible during the morning hours.
Long-range ensemble guidance continues to show the passage of an
upper-level shortwave trough along the West Coast with a building
surface high over the northern Great Basin during the D6/Mon to
D7/Tues period. This synoptic regime is characteristic of previous
critical fire patterns for the southern CA coast, and the signal for
this regime has been fairly consistent in sequential model runs and
among various deterministic/ensemble solutions. Confidence in
forecast details remains very low at this range due to considerable
spread regarding the evolution and intensity of the upper wave,
though the general consensus appears to be that mid/upper-level
winds for the Mon/Tue system will not be as strong compared to the
ongoing offshore flow event. This perhaps signals a less intense
offshore flow event overall, though critical LAX-TPH pressure
gradient thresholds may be met based on ensemble probabilities.
Given the persistent signal and notable fire activity across the Los
Angeles region, 40% risk areas have been introduced for D6/Mon and
D7/Tue when the offshore flow regime should become established.
..Moore.. 01/08/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
$$
CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT