Severe WX April 1-2 (overnight) Severe Weather Event

[Kds86z]

All way down in south..

 

[Clancy]

A wall of Tornado Warnings.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Does Copic have a rear-view camera on his vehicle, or was he flooring it IN REVERSE to get out of the path of that monster at Lake City?

 

[KCweatherboy]

Storm by Shawneetown, IL right by the IL/KY has a nice hook on it. Not tornado warned yet though

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Forest city supercell is the one to watch

 

[ColdFront]

These supercells that are getting swallowed are so mature that they can probably persist for a bit within the line. You saw Greensburg have no noticeable inflow notch, and the Selma cell in the January 2023 Surprise Alabama outbreak was swallowed by the line but still dropped a long track into Georgia

 

[Clancy]

Does Copic have a rear-view camera on his vehicle, or was he flooring it IN REVERSE to get out of the path of that monster at Lake City?

The latter, from what it seemed like when I was watching the stream.

 

[Kolle]

Shelby County (home to Memphis) is now under a warning.

 

[Maxis_s]

This has been looking scary for a while. Really hope it doesn't do what it could do.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

This has been looking scary for a while. Really hope it doesn't do what it could do.

It's going to get nudged from the line, hopefully it doesn't fuel it to intensify

 

[Maxis_s]

It's going to get nudged from the line, hopefully it doesn't fuel it to intensify

Upper level rotation, even on the 3rd lowest tilt, looks nuts, and as soon as it touches down I have a feeling it'll blow up quickly.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

This has been looking scary for a while. Really hope it doesn't do what it could do.

Part of West Memphis and Marion now in a tornado warning from that.

 

[TornadoFan]

Evansville, IN now under a tornado warning.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

The latter, from what it seemed like when I was watching the stream.

See, this is why my wife and my mom hate me chasing. They think it's always like that. I try to tell them that's not my style, that I'd much rather find a place out of the path to set up and watch it go by (like at Keota), but I don't think they believe me.

 

[TH2002]

Part of West Memphis and Marion now in a tornado warning from that.

Incidentally, West Memphis was hit by an F3 back in December of 1987.

 

[jiharris0220]

My thoughts on what’s happened here are as follows.
Obviously the event is still ongoing, but so far, I don’t think a high risk verified, sure there’s been a few significant tornadoes and at least one violent tornado, but this doesn’t meet the high risk threshold.

Now, I’m highly confident this event has easily passed as a moderate risk, and this is what’s most likely going to show up on tornado modified practically perfect obs.

Broyles is a bold soul, and these OWS supercells definitely made the event, because as far as I know, the QLCS itself failed to produce any tornadoes in Arkansas.

The models picking up the OWS supercells in the final hours preceding this event is a classic example of how CAMs struggle with weakly capped/weakly forced OWS.

The weak inversion allowed the extreme vertical instability and radiative surface heating to do the job in initiating convection rather than synoptic forcing, which again, is what CAMS struggled to pick up on until only a couple of hours out from the event.

Got to hand it out to the SPC, which continues to show why they’re a critical resource and why they should be getting more funds, not cut down.

 

[Grand Poo Bah]

Sped up view of the Monette tornado progression

 

[UK_EF4]

Apparently these are damage photos coming out of Lake City.

 

[Tennie]

Incidentally, West Memphis was hit by an F3 back in December of 1987.

It was an F4. In addition, it barely missed a dog-racing track that was packed with at least several thousand people.

 

[Kds86z]

View attachment 38641

Apparently these are damage photos coming out of Lake City.

Not shocked