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Severe WX April 1-2 (overnight) Severe Weather Event

I’m not worried about my area any more, LFC is way to elevated here for any cells to take root.

The cap is also holding strong to prevent any convection from initiating towards my south.

It’s now all eyes on Oklahoma and southern Kansas to see if supercells manage to sustain, become surfaced based, and produce tornadoes.

Or they could all just succumb and die by dry mid level air before ever having the chance to.
 
Concerning...Tornado Watch 91...

Valid 012356Z - 020200Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 91 continues.

SUMMARY...Splitting supercells initially with a risk of very large
hail and severe gusts. The tornado risk will gradually increase with
time and northeastward extent.

DISCUSSION...Splitting supercells are evolving ahead of the dryline
along the Red River in southwest OK and extreme northwest TX. These
storms are in an environment characterized by 50 kt of 0-6 km shear
with a mostly straight hodograph (per FDR VWP data). Given weak
large-scale forcing for ascent, this will continue to promote
discrete/semi-discrete splitting supercells with a risk of very
large hail and locally severe gusts. With time, a strengthening
low-level jet will support enlarging clockwise-turning low-level
hodographs (effective SRH upwards of 600-700 m2/s2). This will favor
a transition to dominant right-moving supercells with an increasing
risk of tornadoes. With lower 60s F dewpoints in place, and the
expectation for a discrete/semi-discrete mode, a strong tornado will
be possible.
Click to expand...

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