I thought it was a good article that brought up some valid points for consideration. I know it's probably 20 years too late, but one solution for reducing casualties in those situations where the intent is mass killings is to not let the average citizen have access to magazine clips that hold 30/60/100 rounds before the perpetrator has to reload. And eliminating guns that can shoot 4-6 rounds per second. If all guns had only a 6 shot capacity where each round was individually hand loaded, many (not all) lives could be saved. All the guns I own are that way. You don't see killers who want to inflict as much havoc as they can in mass shootings ever choose that kind of weapon... because it would take too long to rip off 100 rounds and multiple round clips in rapid firing arms are much more efficient for their evil purposes. But I don't know what can be done about that now since relaxed laws and unregulated "gun shows" have so many in circulation.
Couple of things:
1. AR15 style weapons in the hands of a trained expert might average 1-1.5 rounds per second. Misinformation is frequently spread that confuses an AR15's maximum cyclic rate (and without reloading). A casual shooter like those that engage in mass shootings would be lucky to average 1 round per second. The Las Vegas shooter, who was using extremely large magazines and bump stocks, only averaged around 2 rounds per second even if being liberal with the number of rounds expended. Finally, you manually hand load rounds into a magazine for an AR15 just like any other rifle with a magazine. Confused by what you meant here. Are you referring to detachable vs fixed magazines?
https://www.reviewjournal.com/crime...than-1100-rounds-fired-in-las-vegas-shooting/
2. If you read the 538 research piece and the WaPo opinion piece, you'll see that they believe magazine restrictions would have little to no impact on mass shooting deaths. They are not pro-gun people. They conclude that mass shooters will just carry more guns and magazines and practice reloading/changing mags or guns more efficiently. They see most mass shooters as being on a "mission" and don't think not we should base any new policies or legal strategies on mass shootings as they are a bad way to understand the 10k illegal gun deaths we have per year.
3. Most mass shootings and firearm homicides are committed by people using handguns. I'll link some research done by various parties that I believe no one would see as pro-gun in any any way. Mother Jones' research showed that 20/143 weapons used by mass shooters would've fit the criteria of an "assault" weapon while 42/143 weapons used the high capacity magazines you refer to in your post. Obviously, there is some overlap being that some shooters with "assault" weapons had their gun outfitted with a high capacity magazine. 21/143 weapons were shotguns. 71/143 were handguns. In most mass shootings, particularly those with a greater number of deaths, the shooter had multiple firearms.
https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2012/07/mass-shootings-map/
WaPo had a visualization of weapons used by mass shooters since 1966. I think you'll be shocked by the number of bolt action rifles and shotguns visualized. And, although it looks like AR15s or a similar variant make up a decent chunk as well, keep in mind that they are actually listing all 21 of the Vegas shooters AR15 style rifles which other DBs like Mother Jones don't use.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/grap...-shootings-in-america/?utm_term=.133586027637
I raised this point before, but it merits repeating. AR15 style weapons or even their AK47 counterparts were not a very common choice before the Aurora, CO shooting and the subsequent Newtown Elementary school shooting (remember, Lanza was very inspired by the Aurora shooting). The constant media attention given to AR15 rifles and their labeling of AR15s as the most efficient killing machine possible should not be ignored. Many mass shooters have left evidence of having meticulously researched previous mass shootings, and quite a few were given to obsessive research and compilation of what weapons were used and how shooters maximized death totals.
Here is some research done by Connecticut about weapons used in mass shootings:
https://www.cga.ct.gov/2013/rpt/2013-R-0057.htm
Finally, I want to mention what the Washington Post research found. There have been 1077 deaths in mass shootings since 1966. That's a sum total. While one death is one too many, the debate frequently ignores that we went from over 18,000 gun homicides in 1993 (with only 260 million people) to 9600 gun homicide deaths in 2015 (with 321 million people as the US population grew by nearly one quarter since '93). At the same time, since 2007, the US has been adding 6 million or more guns each year to the total number of guns circulating, with an astounding 16 million guns added during 2016.
Do I think that is a good thing? I don't. I agree with many people that our current system allows too many people to fall through the cracks. There is also no denying that US guns are frequently purchased domestically and then smuggled to Mexico, Honduras, Guatemala and other countries helping to circumvent their gun laws and lead to sharply increased homicide rates due to the ongoing drug wars.
But, here's the rub. Easily 80% of our gun violence occurs in people aged 34 or younger. Most of the initial decrease in gun homicides from 1993 through today was among black males 34 and younger and it quickly plateaued around 1998. In fact, around 2005-2006 you had an increase in that community, and you are seeing it again today since about 2014/2015.
Whites, Hispanics, Asians, and Native Americans have all continued to see their homicide rates drop since 1993 and haven't yet fully plateaued. Why is this important? Because very few of the homicides we see on a yearly basis are committed by people using anything other than a handgun with a standard capacity magazine. It fluctuates from year to year, but 70-80% of gun homicides are with handguns. We have around 1500-1600 gun homicides of school age children a year (2600 was the peak in 1993). Remarkably, the homicide rate IN SCHOOL has consistently remained around 1-1.2% a year, and that INCLUDES mass shootings. We average about 20 in-school homocide deaths a year, and over 80% are via firearm. All data directly from the FBI:
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.bjs.gov/index.cfm?iid=4616&ty=pbdetail&ved=2ahUKEwiBrPex5rHZAhWJvVMKHY9NDmsQFjACegQIERAB&usg=AOvVaw2RE6aKo02x6otVzV2gZvAF
So, I want to reiterate. Magazine capacity restrictions and AR15 bans are the media de jour solution to gun violence. And we are told we have a moral imperative to support these solutions that would have a very negligible impact on gun homicides each year. Meanwhile, we ignore the impact of handguns on the young in Black and Hispanic communities. We ignore the usage of shotguns and hunting rifles to commit suicide by young people in rural areas. We certainly ignore that 63% of gun deaths are suicides and most by using a handgun.
If there is a moral imperative to DO SOMETHING about gun violence then why are people cherry picking the ideas that would primarily have an impact on white communities in wealthier areas? Why are we not looking at a total gun ban and a confiscation program? If we have a moral imperative to DO SOMETHING about gun deaths that are less than 1% of the yearly total at worst, then how the hell do we ignore the moral imperative of doing something about the other 99%? We could have a much larger impact on gun suicides in general, and gun homicides in poor minority communities by passing new gun legislation that targets handguns, but no one is asking for that. It's about AR15s, magazine capacity, bump stocks, and the quantity of firearms one owns.
Why is that? If this is a moral imperative? If it is about common sense? Why are we focusing on 1% and ignoring the other 99%? And why stop at AR15s or even handguns? Wouldn't the safest and most moral thing be to ban all guns and confiscate them? Why are we not having that conversation if this is really a moral issue and really about protecting children?