2/15/25 SE Severe Threat

[wx_guy]

The latest HRRR looks like they'll be a primary area of tornadic potential and then a secondary potential area further south and east as the night progresses.

 

[TheSuckZone]

 

[Anti Marine Layer]

Looks like a rough evening ahead

 

[MMWX]

Already some stuff trying to break off from the QLCS near Wynne and Forest City, AR, and on the MS river near Memphis

 

[UncleJuJu98]

We're probably about a hour or two from the action starting.

 

[Justin Hindman]

Glad I sat this one out. I will probably take a nap once auburn beats Alabama hopefully. I’ll be up in case this line gets bad over Birmingham

 

[Ledian]

Interesting shape on the cell over Edmondson.

 

[Kolle]

For those wondering in North Alabama, the NWS Huntsville office says they expect a tornado watch for the area starting around 7p-9p tonight.

 

[MMWX]

Interested in seeing how these cells crossing the river near Memphis right now interact with the environment given to them

 

[CheeselandSkies]

There are definitely some updrafts firing off the confluence bands in central Louisiana, ahead of the developing squall line. As Trey has pointed out in his videos there are a few factors with this setup arguing against their potential to become sustained tornadic supercells, but they still bear watching.

 

[Atlantic]

Tangentially related, but we have a flash flood emergency in SW Virginia

That’s around my area

 

[UncleJuJu98]

South of Shreveport Lousianna may need a warning in the near future.

 

[treypops]

Looks like a nothing burger for Memphis metro. I'd shift my focus a little south/southeast.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Two areas of interest.

 

[Atlantic]

Is this a hook? Circled in blue

 

[lake.effect]

Cell due south of Alexandria, LA bears watching

 

[Clancy]

Convection starting to intensify around Memphis. Not sure there's much of a tornado threat right this moment but the uptick in convection is noticable.

 

[TheSuckZone]

CAMs appear to have been in line with the current radar presentation

 

[Clancy]

A little train of hooks in LA.

 

[treypops]

Is this a hook? View attachment 33843Circled in blue

Don't see much of anything there that concerns me