2/15/25 SE Severe Threat

[AJS]

View attachment 33810
we are truly cooked

Yikes.

 

[TornadoFan]

I can hear Reed's heavy breathing from here.

 

[wx_guy]

This is looking more and more like a high-end event. I could definitely still see an upgrade to MDT. It's basically already there (just put back the hatching on the wind).

 

[Clancy]

Wonder if we get a few afternoon surprises. CAMs weren't predicting much of anything here before dark, but they aren't handling as well as one would hope.

 

[TornadoFan]

 

[Ledian]

Yep, it's definitely starting to get brighter here

 

[LoopingHodos]

Both Nadocast and HRRR show pre-frontal development/tornado potential all the way into middle TN from North MS/AL. Any thoughts on this and why the discrepancy (opposed to a more western outlook and probabilities)?

 

[TornadoFan]

Bill and Jo are in town.

 

[slenker]

View attachment 33810
we are truly cooked

Looks like Reed’s confluence band prediction was right.

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

Looks like Reed’s confluence band prediction was right.

yup....

 

[wx_guy]

I'm betting, Clancy you're right. There's gonna be fireworks sooner rather than later.

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

I am le done

 

[TornadoFan]

View attachment 33817
I am le done

 

[AJS]

View attachment 33817
I am le done

Sheeeh…. It’s gonna be a long day.

 

[MMWX]

View attachment 33817
I am le done

Where is this?

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

Sheeeh…. It’s gonna be a long day.

about that.............. We have favorable LLLRs already in place

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

Where is this?

SW TN, in that gen area of prefrontals

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

 

[wx_guy]

StormNet's AI 3-hour tornado probabilities are starting to show up already:

 

[treypops]

StormNet's AI 3-hour tornado probabilities are starting to show up already:

View attachment 33820

@TornadoFan17 pegged this early on. The kid's got potential.