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I like the S VT/S NH area a bit more. Looking at the 18z suite, seems to me that the more favorable SRH (still not great of course) is over to the east while ample buoyancy and deep-layer shear overspread the entire area. Temperature profiles look good pretty much everywhere except a little bit warm and dry at the surface in the south and over in NYC/NJ.Yep. Seems like a isolated tornado or two remains possible over there. The risk in Nebraska seems more like a structureshow to me.
I am watching Sunday for the potential of severe weather including isolated all hazards in portions of Eastern NY. I'll invite @N0mz's thoughts here too. The potential for prefrontal storms ahead of a QLCS interacting with enough low level buoyancy + a bit of low level shear could lead to a interesting day for the area

Hope your wife is doing well!Well we still managed a tornado warning in Dane County, although when I looked at Radarscope the storm didn't look like much. MKX said there was a funnel cloud report, though. I didn't chase; my wife has been hospitalized most of the last two months. Visited her after work and my mom joined me there so I went back to my parents' house (same place we were living when nearly hit by the 2005 Stoughton tornado) for dinner. The warning went out while we were en route.
Went through the cabinets by the old TV in my parents' basement. Lookie what I found...
View attachment 54719


I agree. Seems like mode is more spaced out and there's a plethora of low level stretching to deal with along terrain.I like the S VT/S NH area a bit more. Looking at the 18z suite, seems to me that the more favorable SRH (still not great of course) is over to the east while ample buoyancy and deep-layer shear overspread the entire area. Temperature profiles look good pretty much everywhere except a little bit warm and dry at the surface in the south and over in NYC/NJ.
I would look out for locally enhanced areas of vorticity generated by the Hudson River Valley and the Merrimack River Valley, as well as the sea breeze boundary that sets up in from the coast in NE Massachusetts. In addition to the general geographic complexity, which stretches and strengthens mesovortices, these features can help trigger tornadogenesis.
I feel like I know who, but I don’t rememberI agree. Seems like mode is more spaced out and there's a plethora of low level stretching to deal with along terrain.
This forum's quiet...sometimes you wish a certain someone starts talking about outbreak intervals again LOL to get stuff running
Between flipping through previous significant event threads on this forum, and hearing enough about this person, I think this is the best place to start:I feel like I know who, but I don’t remember
Jog my memory please
I have to agree.
I've only heard good/positive things about Adam Lucio in the past. However, I'm an extremely skeptical person by nature. This type of phenomena ostensibly being captured on video is something I'm going to have to see with my own two eyes before rendering an opinion. For a variety of reasons something like this is going to require serious validation before being accepted by some -- myself included.
Between flipping through previous significant event threads on this forum, and hearing enough about this person, I think this is the best place to start:
I have to agree.
I've only heard good/positive things about Adam Lucio in the past. However, I'm an extremely skeptical person by nature. This type of phenomena ostensibly being captured on video is something I'm going to have to see with my own two eyes before rendering an opinion. For a variety of reasons something like this is going to require serious validation before being accepted by some -- myself included.![]()
The phenomenon, or “light” (orb), in question is circled in red, near the...
- Casuarina Head
- ball lightning orbs ufos
- Replies: 74
- Forum: General Weather Discussion
Between flipping through previous significant event threads on this forum, and hearing enough about this person, I think this is the best place to start:
I have to agree.
I've only heard good/positive things about Adam Lucio in the past. However, I'm an extremely skeptical person by nature. This type of phenomena ostensibly being captured on video is something I'm going to have to see with my own two eyes before rendering an opinion. For a variety of reasons something like this is going to require serious validation before being accepted by some -- myself included.![]()
The phenomenon, or “light” (orb), in question is circled in red, near the...
- Casuarina Head
- ball lightning orbs ufos
- Replies: 74
- Forum: General Weather Discussion
Between flipping through previous significant event threads on this forum, and hearing enough about this person, I think this is the best place to start:
I have to agree.
I've only heard good/positive things about Adam Lucio in the past. However, I'm an extremely skeptical person by nature. This type of phenomena ostensibly being captured on video is something I'm going to have to see with my own two eyes before rendering an opinion. For a variety of reasons something like this is going to require serious validation before being accepted by some -- myself included.![]()
The phenomenon, or “light” (orb), in question is circled in red, near the...
- Casuarina Head
- ball lightning orbs ufos
- Replies: 74
- Forum: General Weather Discussion