Would not be surprised for tornado driven moderate in the next update.
-
Welcome to TalkWeather! We see you lurking around TalkWeather! Take the extra step and join us today to view attachments, see less ads and maybe even join the discussion. CLICK TO JOIN TALKWEATHER
5/5-5-6 2026 severe threat
- Thread starter Justin Hindman
- Start date
Central Ohio Wx
Member
I wouldn't either, although I think they'll most likely hold back due to uncertainties. Today would be a great use of the 10% CIG2.
HazardousWx
Member
- Messages
- 99
- Reaction score
- 118
- Location
- Huntsville, AL
- HAM Callsign
- W4SSW
- Special Affiliations
- SKYWARN® Volunteer
Sun coming out up here just north of Huntsville after these morning thundershowers moved through.
Ozonelayer
Member
Quite frankly, they could go for either and I wouldn't complain in the slightest. 50/50 shot IMO.
What I do think they need to do is extend the 10% further south by a bit.
Agree, these are the kind of days the CIG gradient is made for.
MCS is moving quickly to the east over parts of AL, GA and TN, clearing the way for convective development further west. Definitely looks like there will be dynamic boundary development to the south of the borders of Alabama and Georgia with Tennessee.
Anybody know when the next update drops?
pritchlaw
Member
Warm and partly sunny in Warrior/Hayden, AL. Feels like it will do something later. That's my scientific analysis.
Ozonelayer
Member
1630z (Around 12:30 Eastern i think?)
11:30 Central.
Here at work near Blount Springs, the sun has started to come out and warmed up to the mid 70s. The air has gotten humid at the same time.
Fresh off the press
Trey says very concerning look in South Miss today.
RF16Gold
Member
Sun out on the I-20 corridor Birmingham to Atlanta.
bckhd2
Member
Sun has come out pretty good now here in downtown Atlanta. I work on the 40th floor of my building so I get a good view of the whole area.
Sharpy
Member
The way the HRRR has been (keeping in its mind performance this year), I feel like that area is going to be more of the battleground for today into SW AL. Not saying anywhere else will be, but the STP has been homing in on elevated numbers there along with UH swaths. Most recent NAM3K has shown some tracks in this region too.
Just my two cents, if they're even worth that.
- Moderator
- #158
The "wet blanket" feel has been steadily increasing here since the rain moved out.
Ozonelayer
Member
Clearing looks as if it is attempting to happen in central/south-central MS. If it continues and we get more daytime heating, then there is a possibility that higher instability than forecast as well as a dryer layer may happen, which would be a double-benefit for our main cells as they can get more room to breathe on top of more energy.
Very interesting. There is a modest capping inversion across much of our threat area (sounding from JAN included). Could keep a lid on things and prevent excessive crapvection in some areas. Will be an interesting day to watch either way, to be sure.
