2026 Global Tropical Cyclone Discussion

[Atlantic]

Super Typhoon Champi has the most stable pinhole eye I’ve tracked in the five years I’ve been tracking TCs. Officially it is a 130 kt super typhoon, but there have been several T 7.0 Dvorak fixes suggesting that Champi is likely a Category 5.

 

[SouthFLwx]

Super Typhoon Champi has the most stable pinhole eye I’ve tracked in the five years I’ve been tracking TCs. Officially it is a 130 kt super typhoon, but there have been several T 7.0 Dvorak fixes suggesting that Champi is likely a Category 5.

View attachment 55334

this is an upper-echelon and borderline perfect sat presentation, if that can maintain or improve going into 00Z, I would up it to 155-160 kts.

 

[Atlantic]

this is an upper-echelon and borderline perfect sat presentation, if that can maintain or improve going into 00Z, I would up it to 155-160 kts.

Look at it now, with its astonishing appearance

 

[Kds86z]

Look at it now, with its astonishing appearance

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Atlantic]

Ok, I’m done:

The JTWC kept 130 kts/934 mb for 00Z ATCF

Why are they clowning so d*** hard?

 

[Atlantic]

Ok, I’m done:

The JTWC kept 130 kts/934 mb for 00Z ATCF

Why are they clowning so d*** hard?

Sorry for the unprofessional reply, because I’m usually professional with reporting the tropics on this thread, but this is not acceptable from the JTWC, considering we had several T 7.0 fixes from Dvorak prior to 18Z, so this should be a Category 5

 

[JPWX]

I agree. That is a very exquisite pinhole eye and it's obviously a category 5 now (very intense at that). This also reminds me of the Spongebob scene between Patrick and Manray. Instead of Is this your Wallet, its: Is this a category 5? JTWC: No

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Atlantic]

I agree. That is a very exquisite pinhole eye and it's obviously a category 5 now (very intense at that). This also reminds me of the Spongebob scene between Patrick and Manray. Instead of Is this your Wallet, its: Is this a category 5? JTWC: No

I don’t know what the JTWC is doing, but I’ve seen some people compare this to 2019 levels of clownery from the JTWC massively underestimating a storm, so…

 

[Atlantic]

@JPWX

 

[JPWX]

Eye is 5.1 miles wide (measuring from west to east) and 3.3 miles wide (measuring from south to north) on RadarScope

 

[JPWX]

I don’t know what the JTWC is doing, but I’ve seen some people compare this to 2019 levels of clownery from the JTWC massively underestimating a storm, so…

Wonder if JTWC is being run by NWS Memphis today.

 

[Atlantic]

Wonder if JTWC is being run by NWS Memphis today.

Wdym

 

[JPWX]

Wdym

Because NWS Memphis is most of the time the last ones to acknowledge a severe weather/tornado risk. They are too conservative with mentioning any risk of severe storms/tornadoes even when SPC and other surrounding offices are mentioning the risk.

 

[Kds86z]

Wdym

Nws Memphis is bad

 

[Atlantic]

Nws Memphis is bad

Ohhhh that, I understand now, thank you

 

[Kds86z]

Nws Memphis is bad

Tornado surveys too, but I’ll let that rest.

 

[Kds86z]

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