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- #321
Lala is no Freddy, but it is still impressive for CPAC storm.
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2026 Global Tropical Cyclone Discussion
- Thread starter Atlantic
- Start date
At 59 Advisories, Lala is now tied with Hurricane Lane (2018) for highest advisory count and for any Eastern-Central Pacific system since 2018. I was trying to find other systems that formed in the Central Pacific that might have had greater advisory count. Unfortunately, since NHC did not include Central Pacific systems in their advisories until roughly 2016, we don't have the good record of advisories issued for CPAC systems prior to 2016.
- Thread starter
- #323
Check Storm2K my friend, they have archive years dating back to 2003.
- Thread starter
- #324
Hurricane Kilo (Typhoon Kilo after crossing the IDL) clocked in at 46 advisories in 2015.
HURRICANE KILO DISCUSSION NUMBER 46
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP032015
500 PM HST MON AUG 31 2015
EYEWALL CONVECTION APPEARS TO HAVE WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS
BUT A CLOUD-FILLED EYE IS STILL EVIDENT IN THE SATELLITE IMAGES. THE
UPPER LEVEL CLOUD PATTERN HAS BEEN ASYMMETRIC AND BEEN RESTRICTED TO
THE WEST ALL DAY DUE TO VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. A 2213 UTC AMSU PASS
SHOWED A PARTIAL EYEWALL AND A LACK OF SIGNIFICANT RAIN BANDS THAT
WERE PRESENT SEVERAL HOURS AGO. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES CAME IN
AT 5.5/102 KT FROM SAB AND JTWC...AND 115 KT FROM PHFO. THE UW/CIMSS
ADT ESTIMATE AT 0000 UTC CAME IN AT 115 KT. BASED ON A BLEND OF
THESE DATA AND THE DEGRADATION IN KILO/S SATELLITE
PRESENTATION...THE INITIAL INTENSITY FOR THIS ADVISORY PACKAGE HAS
BEEN LOWERED TO 110 KT. A 2129 UTC ASCAT PASS HELPED REFINE THE WIND
RADII...ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT WHERE RADII WERE LARGER
THAN PREVIOUSLY DEPICTED.
KILO HAS REMAINED ON THE SAME GENERAL TRACK ALL DAY WITH AN INITIAL
MOTION OF 340/7 KT AS IT MOVES AROUND A MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO THE
EAST. AFTER ABOUT 36 HOURS...A RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BUILD EASTWARD
TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF KILO AND WILL TURN THE CYCLONE SLOWLY
TOWARD THE WEST OR SOUTHWEST. MOST OF THE OBJECTIVE AIDS REMAIN
TIGHTLY GROUPED THROUGH 36 HOURS...THEN DIVERGE BEYOND THAT TIME
FRAME. THE DIVERGENCE IN THE LONGER RANGE FORECAST TRACKS IS DUE TO
DIFFERING DEPICTIONS BY THE VARIOUS MODELS OF THE STRENGTH AND
ORIENTATION OF THE FORECAST RIDGE DEVELOPMENT. THE CURRENT FORECAST
HAS BEEN NUDGED SLIGHTLY TOWARD THE GFS AND ECMWF
CONSENSUS...GFEX...WHICH PUTS KILO ON A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD PATH
FOLLOWING ITS THE LEFT TURN AFTER 36 HOURS. THIS WILL TAKE KILO
ACROSS THE DATELINE INTO THE WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC THIS EVENING.
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR APPEARS TO HAVE RESULTED IN SOME WEAKENING OF
KILO TODAY. SHIPS GUIDANCE SHOWS THAT THIS SHEAR SHOULD EASE OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH 48 HOURS. AFTER SOME NEAR
TERM WEAKENING...KILO SHOULD STRENGTHEN AGAIN BENEATH SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES THAT WILL REMAIN ABOVE 29C ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK.
THUS...THE CURRENT FORECAST DROPS KILO TO 105 KT AT 12 HOURS BUT
GRADUALLY STRENGTHENS THE CYCLONE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD. THIS IS CLOSE TO THE IVCN CONSENSUS AND SHIPS.
THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BY RSMC
TOKYO JAPAN. FOR U.S. INTERESTS...SEE THE PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED
BY THE U.S. NWS WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE IN GUAM...AND DEPARTMENT OF
DEFENSE WARNINGS ISSUED BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 01/0300Z 22.6N 179.8W 110 KT 125 MPH
12H 01/1200Z 23.4N 179.7E 105 KT 120 MPH
24H 02/0000Z 24.3N 179.2E 110 KT 125 MPH
36H 02/1200Z 24.8N 178.5E 110 KT 125 MPH
48H 03/0000Z 25.0N 178.0E 115 KT 135 MPH
72H 04/0000Z 24.5N 176.7E 115 KT 135 MPH
96H 05/0000Z 24.0N 174.5E 120 KT 140 MPH
120H 06/0000Z 23.5N 171.5E 125 KT 145 MPH
$$
FORECASTER KODAMA
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP032015
500 PM HST MON AUG 31 2015
EYEWALL CONVECTION APPEARS TO HAVE WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS
BUT A CLOUD-FILLED EYE IS STILL EVIDENT IN THE SATELLITE IMAGES. THE
UPPER LEVEL CLOUD PATTERN HAS BEEN ASYMMETRIC AND BEEN RESTRICTED TO
THE WEST ALL DAY DUE TO VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. A 2213 UTC AMSU PASS
SHOWED A PARTIAL EYEWALL AND A LACK OF SIGNIFICANT RAIN BANDS THAT
WERE PRESENT SEVERAL HOURS AGO. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES CAME IN
AT 5.5/102 KT FROM SAB AND JTWC...AND 115 KT FROM PHFO. THE UW/CIMSS
ADT ESTIMATE AT 0000 UTC CAME IN AT 115 KT. BASED ON A BLEND OF
THESE DATA AND THE DEGRADATION IN KILO/S SATELLITE
PRESENTATION...THE INITIAL INTENSITY FOR THIS ADVISORY PACKAGE HAS
BEEN LOWERED TO 110 KT. A 2129 UTC ASCAT PASS HELPED REFINE THE WIND
RADII...ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT WHERE RADII WERE LARGER
THAN PREVIOUSLY DEPICTED.
KILO HAS REMAINED ON THE SAME GENERAL TRACK ALL DAY WITH AN INITIAL
MOTION OF 340/7 KT AS IT MOVES AROUND A MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO THE
EAST. AFTER ABOUT 36 HOURS...A RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BUILD EASTWARD
TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF KILO AND WILL TURN THE CYCLONE SLOWLY
TOWARD THE WEST OR SOUTHWEST. MOST OF THE OBJECTIVE AIDS REMAIN
TIGHTLY GROUPED THROUGH 36 HOURS...THEN DIVERGE BEYOND THAT TIME
FRAME. THE DIVERGENCE IN THE LONGER RANGE FORECAST TRACKS IS DUE TO
DIFFERING DEPICTIONS BY THE VARIOUS MODELS OF THE STRENGTH AND
ORIENTATION OF THE FORECAST RIDGE DEVELOPMENT. THE CURRENT FORECAST
HAS BEEN NUDGED SLIGHTLY TOWARD THE GFS AND ECMWF
CONSENSUS...GFEX...WHICH PUTS KILO ON A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD PATH
FOLLOWING ITS THE LEFT TURN AFTER 36 HOURS. THIS WILL TAKE KILO
ACROSS THE DATELINE INTO THE WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC THIS EVENING.
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR APPEARS TO HAVE RESULTED IN SOME WEAKENING OF
KILO TODAY. SHIPS GUIDANCE SHOWS THAT THIS SHEAR SHOULD EASE OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH 48 HOURS. AFTER SOME NEAR
TERM WEAKENING...KILO SHOULD STRENGTHEN AGAIN BENEATH SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES THAT WILL REMAIN ABOVE 29C ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK.
THUS...THE CURRENT FORECAST DROPS KILO TO 105 KT AT 12 HOURS BUT
GRADUALLY STRENGTHENS THE CYCLONE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD. THIS IS CLOSE TO THE IVCN CONSENSUS AND SHIPS.
THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY FROM THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BY RSMC
TOKYO JAPAN. FOR U.S. INTERESTS...SEE THE PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED
BY THE U.S. NWS WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE IN GUAM...AND DEPARTMENT OF
DEFENSE WARNINGS ISSUED BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER IN
HONOLULU HAWAII.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 01/0300Z 22.6N 179.8W 110 KT 125 MPH
12H 01/1200Z 23.4N 179.7E 105 KT 120 MPH
24H 02/0000Z 24.3N 179.2E 110 KT 125 MPH
36H 02/1200Z 24.8N 178.5E 110 KT 125 MPH
48H 03/0000Z 25.0N 178.0E 115 KT 135 MPH
72H 04/0000Z 24.5N 176.7E 115 KT 135 MPH
96H 05/0000Z 24.0N 174.5E 120 KT 140 MPH
120H 06/0000Z 23.5N 171.5E 125 KT 145 MPH
$$
FORECASTER KODAMA
- Thread starter
- #325
Really wish I could find it on their site, but I can't see it
- Thread starter
- #327
Wdym
O i see you have to make an account to access it. I just can't find the link to the archive
- Thread starter
- #329
I have an account on there if you want me to do anything
- Thread starter
- #330
Special commemoration for Hurricane Katrina, as I know anniversaries usually go into the tornado and hurricane thread.
On this day 21 years ago, Hurricane Katrina made landfall in Louisiana as a 110-kt (125 mph) Category 3 hurricane, with some people suggesting that Katrina may have been a 115-kt (130 mph) Category 4 hurricane at landfall. Regardless, it brought unprecedented destruction to Louisiana and redefined what we think about destruction and loss of life from tropical cyclones.
In the Spring of 2006, Katrina was retired and it was replaced with Katia, which was first used for Category 4 Hurricane Katia in 2011, which recurved out to sea unlike Katrina.
Hurricane Katrina at landfall on August 29th, 2005
On this day 21 years ago, Hurricane Katrina made landfall in Louisiana as a 110-kt (125 mph) Category 3 hurricane, with some people suggesting that Katrina may have been a 115-kt (130 mph) Category 4 hurricane at landfall. Regardless, it brought unprecedented destruction to Louisiana and redefined what we think about destruction and loss of life from tropical cyclones.
In the Spring of 2006, Katrina was retired and it was replaced with Katia, which was first used for Category 4 Hurricane Katia in 2011, which recurved out to sea unlike Katrina.
Hurricane Katrina at landfall on August 29th, 2005
- Thread starter
- #331
Today also marks 5 years since Hurricane Ida made landfall in Louisiana, with maximum sustained winds of 130-kts (150 mph), a high-end Category 4 hurricane, which tied Hurricane Laura from the previous year and the Last Island Hurricane for the strongest landfalling hurricane in Louisiana history.
Ida was retired in the spring of 2022, and was replaced with Imani for the 2027 season.
Hurricane Ida at landfall on August 29th, 2021