Severe Weather Threat May 16-18, 2026

[TornadoFan]

 

[Weatherguyx]

 

[TornadoFan]

Northern Kansas.

 

[TheSuckZone]

People chasing in NW Kansas had to bail out of the cores of 85 mph wind and baseball hail only to get overrun by a 0 visibility dust storm

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Kds86z]

View attachment 52860

Check pms @TornadoFan

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

something happened, gonna have to read that discussion when spc loads

 

[Kds86z]

View attachment 52863
something happened, gonna have to read that discussion when spc loads

Yeah MDT

BETTER POTENTIAL EXISTS
FOR A MORE SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELL ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS AHEAD OF
THE DRYLINE. A FEW HREF MEMBERS DO SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR THIS
SCENARIO, WITH LONG UH TRACKS ACROSS KS INTO SOUTHERN NEBRASKA.
TORNADO PROBABILITIES WERE INCREASED FROM EAST-CENTRAL KS INTO
SOUTHEASTERN NE/SOUTHERN IA/NORTHWESTERN MS.

 

[Kds86z]

.

 

[Beachwalker]

Monday after 18-20z is showing an STP rating of 10 just south of the Omaha area and pushing down the I-29 towards KC as the event progresses. Chasers should be able to get some great videos.

 

[jackhutwx]

hrrr 12z has 6000+ sbcape at 20z monday. absolutely wild environment.

 

[CannedHeat]

I'm kind of surprised this thread had been so quiet with a day 2 moderate on the table.

 

[UpperLevelLOL]

I think the near insta-linear nature of this threat might be lowering the ceiling of this is event

 

[GXSC]

I'm kind of surprised this thread had been so quiet with a day 2 moderate on the table.

I'm in the 10% hatched and am just really hoping I don't lose my house to a violent tornado on Monday before Sid Meier's Civilization 7 comes out with a ton of new OSTs on Tuesday that I gotta put into my phone MP3 player.

 

[Weatherguyx]

 

[notsoencrypted]

It's clearing and the sun is heating things up as I'm driving along I-90 in MN, about to cut south through Iowa. Stopped for gas and figured I'd check here before hitting the road again. Definitely looks like there will be plenty of time for the sun to do its thing here.

 

[VultureDirge89]

I'm not sure what's going on here, but we have a 15% hatched tornado risk on the SPC page but only an enhanced risk?

 

[lurker]

View attachment 52866View attachment 52867
I'm not sure what's going on here, but we have a 15% hatched tornado risk on the SPC page but only an enhanced risk?

15% Cig1 is only enhanced, while a 15% Cig2 (like tomorrow) is moderate. The level of hatching matters here