akt1985
Member
We can only hope like a lot of fast food orders, the forecast is wrong today.
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Severe WX Severe Weather 4/24-4/26
- Thread starter Sharpy
- Start date
UpperLevelLOL
Member
Gotta say, it’s weird that today has such high potential when I’m sitting here outside in 73 degree weather, socked in cloud cover, light drizzle, and little wind here in the OKC metro
The sun has been in and out here in DFW, and I don't like it. Not helping is the fact that sports or paid programming is showing on the four main networks (FOX, NBC, ABC, and CBS)
Any idea on a forecast? They've flip-flopped between storms starting around 4 and 5 PM
Any idea on a forecast? They've flip-flopped between storms starting around 4 and 5 PM
Ozonelayer
Member
There is 5000-5500 SBCAPE in north Texas already.
I'm personally thinking that the dryline is going to convect. I'm saying this because, if you look at the models holistically without focusing too much on the HRRR, many show that signal for convection on the dryline. That combined with the weak cap will serve to isolate the storms and prevent a messy storm mode and with the current environment those storms could produce tornadoes.The sun has been in and out here in DFW, and I don't like it. Not helping is the fact that sports or paid programming is showing on the four main networks (FOX, NBC, ABC, and CBS)
Any idea on a forecast? They've flip-flopped between storms starting around 4 and 5 PM
Muwx
Member
I have absolutely no idea why today is a cig 2 day and Thursday wasn’t.
That is... very concerning. Not sure of any failure modes. From what I can gather on local affiliate websites, they continue to call it a 'low coverage, high impact' event
Weatherguyx
Member
For those in N TX
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The atmosphere is set up to produce several supercell thunderstorms late this afternoon and evening across much of Oklahoma and parts of north Texas. All severe weather modes will be possible with, once again, the hardest hit area to be across southern Oklahoma.
The dryline should be able to fire off isolated supercell storms west of the Metroplex by late this afternoon/early evening which will then track to the ESE. The cap will still be over the DFW area, but it will be weak. The question then becomes, can it stay strong enough to lower the severe threat in the local area by the time the storms get here and just allow the rain, some hail, and straightline winds to pass across parts of the DFW area, or will it be too weak and thus allow a tornado touchdown to occur.
To our north and northeast where the cap will not be a major player, a significant severe weather outbreak will occur. And although our atmosphere will be just as unstable as Oklahoma's, we will not see the concentration of severe storms here in the central and southern portions of north Texas due to a slightly stronger cap. Nonetheless, what few storms we will have will likely be severe, especially in the western half of the area where the cap will be more easily broken.
Stay alert by late in the day!
Steve McCauley
Steve McCauley. 121,106 likes · 3,419 talking about this. Meteorologist
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The atmosphere is set up to produce several supercell thunderstorms late this afternoon and evening across much of Oklahoma and parts of north Texas. All severe weather modes will be possible with, once again, the hardest hit area to be across southern Oklahoma.
The dryline should be able to fire off isolated supercell storms west of the Metroplex by late this afternoon/early evening which will then track to the ESE. The cap will still be over the DFW area, but it will be weak. The question then becomes, can it stay strong enough to lower the severe threat in the local area by the time the storms get here and just allow the rain, some hail, and straightline winds to pass across parts of the DFW area, or will it be too weak and thus allow a tornado touchdown to occur.
To our north and northeast where the cap will not be a major player, a significant severe weather outbreak will occur. And although our atmosphere will be just as unstable as Oklahoma's, we will not see the concentration of severe storms here in the central and southern portions of north Texas due to a slightly stronger cap. Nonetheless, what few storms we will have will likely be severe, especially in the western half of the area where the cap will be more easily broken.
Stay alert by late in the day!
Weatherguyx
Member
Kds86z
Member
Ow my eyes
Weatherguyx
Member
TornadoFan
Member
Kds86z
Member
RFD66
Member
Can ANYONE explain how they are posting Images/graphics now? I still can't grab a graphic and post it but others seem to be??
Thanks
Thanks
Kds86z
Member
Violent tornado parameter is at 8 atm. Watching copic go over models.
speedbump305
Member
The CAPE values in North Texas like @Ozonelayer pointed out are insane right now…
Kds86z
Member
Y
ep more like June
Please no. We just had the yearly violent EF5 candidate tornado and more likely than not are about to have a major severe weather event on Monday. Let’s not have Saturday be a major event too.