Severe Weather Threat May 17-19, 2025

[Tennie]

Looking at the storms on radar, it looks like the storms are growing upscale and lining out (at least for now, anyway).

 

[Grand Poo Bah]

Couple areas of rotation coming into Western Missouri now.

 

[Kds86z]

.

 

[ColdFront]

Yeah this one may be finished outside of a QLCS event

 

[Kds86z]

Yeah this one may be finished outside of a QLCS event

We’ll see.. never know. I thought Kansas was last evening.

 

[Tennie]

A tornado is forming near Rogers, Nebraska. Freddy McKinney has a visual on it:

 

[jiharris0220]

The inversion layer has alt f4ed, and the PBL is completely saturated.

Nothing to stop a messy storm mode now.

Any significant tornadoes will either be quick qlcs spin ups, tail end supercells, or any supercells that stay just out ahead of any squall lines.

 

[Kds86z]

A tornado is forming near Rogers, Nebraska. Freddy McKinney has a visual on it:

View attachment 42600

Now confirmed warning

 

[Muwx]

Nevada Mo storm needs a warning ASAP

 

[Kds86z]

Nevada Mo storm needs a warning ASAP

Done

 

[AJS]

Nevada, MO storm looks a bit interesting.

 

[Grand Poo Bah]

Pretty poor low level lapse rates too.




Only thing holding the threat together is very decent helicity and CAPE. Actually pretty surprised how much is still available behind these storms.

 

[AJS]

Missouri storm tightening up.

 

[rushdude]

I think DFW is in the clear at this point. The storms from yesterday may have muddied the waters for anything to develop

 

[tornado examiner]

So…anyone else notice the wedge forming in Pittsburg Oklahoma?

 

[Kds86z]

So…anyone else notice the wedge forming in Pittsburg Oklahoma?

..? No? Llol

 

[AJS]

Excuse me?

 

[Ebaad Jaffery]

I think DFW is in the clear at this point. The storms from yesterday may have muddied the waters for anything to develop

Models showed this happening and clipping parts of north Texas. The bottom edge of the line could have tornadoes

 

[rushdude]

The dry line heard me talking smack and wants to start something

 

[Kds86z]

Excuse me?View attachment 42607

Is that the confirmed one?