I have a feeling if it drops, it'll get very violent very quickly.
-
Welcome to TalkWeather!
We see you lurking around TalkWeather! Take the extra step and join us today to view attachments, see less ads and maybe even join the discussion.
CLICK TO JOIN TALKWEATHER
Severe Weather Threat May 17-19, 2025
- Thread starter Brice W
- Start date
jiharris0220
Member
VWP shows a lacking LLJ as expected and LLLR are piss poor, but there’s plenty of cape and streamwise vorticity is good.
View attachment 42355
But below what the radar beam could detect, the tornado definitely was still on the ground, and I wouldn’t be surprised if it strengthened a little before it died as it shrunk due to conservation of angular momentum.
View attachment 42355
Tornado occluded, which did weaken it, and on radar, which was far away from it, looked like it dissipated.
But below what the radar beam could detect, the tornado definitely was still on the ground, and I wouldn’t be surprised if it strengthened a little before it died as it shrunk due to conservation of angular momentum.
AJS
Member
Please don’t. If that thing gets itself together.
Lake Martin EF4
Member
Oh, my. Not good......
Never thought I'd see a Persona reference on a tornado thread, but there's a first time for everything, I guess (LOL!).
Ozonelayer
Member
Well I left to eat dinner (Yes, I eat dinner at 9:00 PM) and came back to a major catastrophe possible.
Kds86z
Member
over 136 mph just on the one side. it's trying to drop twins. Or fujiwara-ing as it lowers
OH-IOan
Member
TornadoFan
Member
128 mph G2G on the TX storm.
The couplet on the right is just sidelobe, ignore that one.
AJS
Member
That’s.. not good.
Muwx
Member
I’m really surprised Oklahoma didn’t go bigger today.
Kds86z
Member
After the had an ef3 in St. Louis killing people since 1959, I hope not..
Bevo
Member
Attaching the discussion here:
Mesoscale Discussion 0868
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0820 PM CDT Sun May 18 2025
Areas affected...Parts of north-central Texas
Concerning...Tornado Watch 288...
Valid 190120Z - 190215Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 288 continues.
SUMMARY...The supercell tornado threat continues, though it is
unclear how far east the risk will spread.
DISCUSSION...A well-established supercell with a history of
producing tornadoes and very large hail continues across parts of
north-central TX. This storm is still in a very favorable
environment -- characterized by 270-300 m2/s2 0-1km SRH (per nearby
VWP data) and strong surface-based instability. Given this
environment and the ongoing strong mesocyclone, the tornado,
large-hail, and damaging-wind threat continues. It is unclear how
long this supercell will maintain its current intensity with
eastward extent, as it gradually encounters increasing inhibition
(sampled by FWD 00Z sounding). However, the aforementioned strong
mesocyclone and large storm-size may allow it to persist -- with an
accompanying all-hazards risk.
..Weinman.. 05/19/2025
I’m very interested to see what happens tomorrow. Leaving that environment kinda untapped is going to be interesting for how the storms evolve tomorrow. If mode cooperates it’s gonna be a pretty high ceiling.
Kds86z
Member
Pds warned…TX