Severe Weather Threat May 17-19, 2025

[TornadoFan]

Leoti, KS has a tornado warning now.

 

[Mini-x Fan]

Interesting, Albany cell downgraded to radar indicated.

 

[Muwx]

If those Texas storms don’t hook right soon, they aren’t going to do much. The stable air from the cloud is not far ahead of them on current trajectories.

 

[Ozonelayer]

Storm near Higgins, OK has one heck of a upper level mesocyclone.

 

[Tanner]

Might be the early call, but Woodward NEEDS to keep an eye on the cells moving from their southwest. Tornado warning may be imminent with that, and it has a crazy mesocyclone developing already.

 

[ColdFront]

It's almost as if you shouldn't listen to one single model run and assume that's how it's going to happen. It's an ever-changing model run every hour.

Yep. It’s not really an issue on this site but is extremely prevalent on WxTwitter.

 

[TornadoFan]

Storm near Higgins, OK has one heck of a upper level mesocyclone.

Higgins? I"m not seeing anything in that area.

 

[Schoeppeya]

I think everybody writing off the Kansas threat should look at how quickly the nw Oklahoma environment modified

 

[Ozonelayer]

Higgins? I"m not seeing anything in that area.

I meant TX, its right on the border.

 

[TornadoFan]

I meant TX, its right on the border.

Ah gotcha. I was a bit confused lmao.

 

[Maxis_s]

The TOR near Albany, TX is menacing looking. Inbound and outbound velocity/inflow bands look very clear and unimpeded. Tornado seems likely soon.

 

[Ozonelayer]

This thing looks like its not wasting time.

 

[ColdFront]

I think everybody writing off the Kansas threat should look at how quickly the nw Oklahoma environment modified

You’ve had almost 5k J/kg of cape sitting there since a little past noon today. Kansas still has plenty of CIN and not nearly that much cape. It’s going to take a dues ex machina from the LLJ to turn it more favorable.

If storms went off the dryline in Kansas right now they’d slam right into that inversion.

 

[Kds86z]

The TOR near Albany, TX is menacing looking. Inbound and outbound velocity/inflow bands look very clear and unimpeded. Tornado seems likely soon.

Again you mean?

 

[TornadoFan]

Funnel cloud reported on the Texas/Oklahoma panhandle storm.

 

[Maxis_s]

Anticyclonic shenanigans perhaps?

 

[Tennie]

If anyone knows a storm chasing stream near the Albany, TX, area, then please post it here for us to watch, thanks!

 

[snostorm21]

Higgins storm has one hell of a meso on it.

 

[AJS]

View attachment 42257

This thing looks like its not wasting time.

Woodward should remain on high alert if this storm decides to do something.

 

[Tanner]

Thanks. So you see clouds burning off in KS? Or them staying and not making difference ? @Tanner

Central Kansas will see some of those cells currently in the Texas panhandle/NW Oklahoma travel northeast toward that area sustain in a very favorable environment.