Severe Weather Threat May 17-19, 2025

[Grand Poo Bah]

These storms currently firing are right on time according to the HRRR. It's been saying initiation starts at 4pm CST all day.

 

[TornadoFan]

Not seeing the SVR warning.

 

[Maxis_s]

Utah Ohio?

 

[vemir]

 

[Muwx]

The cap at DDC remains incredibly strong. Were a long way from serious storms in Kansas

 

[US_Highway15]

The Canadian TX storm is heading into what I believe is the best environment any storm has been in all day long.

 

[Ozonelayer]

View attachment 42247
The Canadian TX storm is heading into what I believe is the best environment any storm has been in all day long.

That LCL is incredibly low.

 

[zath]

Definitely seems like the environment along an axis along and east of I-35 from Wichita, KS down to Stillwater, OK is struggling to recover from early morning storms. Cloud cover plus cool temperatures are hanging on longer than expected. Plus it seems like more storms are developing along the moisture/instability gradient which won't help. TBD if once the LLJ kicks in things will improve to push the cool pool further north, but I have doubts. I think the expansion of the moderate risk to the east may struggle to verify, time will tell I guess.

 

[Maxis_s]

But where are those good old-fashioned chasers, on which we used to relyyyyyy

 

[Ozonelayer]

View attachment 42248
But where are those good old-fashioned chasers, on which we used to relyyyyyy

"Look Lois! Brian's flying away!"

 

[Tanner]

To quote Ryan Hall Y'all: "things are about to get plum wild"

 

[zath]

Geez, the amount of chasers racing to the Canadian, TX storm is crazy.

 

[Aaron Rider]

How long has it been since we’ve had a diurnal, verified moderate to high end classic Oklahoma/Kansas outbreak? Last year was wild but your big storms were after dark and out east.

I'd argue there really hasn't been one - if we mean 3-5 or more strong to violent tornadoes, all in the daytime - since May 24, 2011.

 

[Aaron Rider]

14 April 2012. And this is what people mean when complaining about a lack of classic plains tornado outbreaks.

I thought several of those were nighttime tornadoes, though?

 

[zath]

Storm near Burlington, CO is trying to develop a hook echo with rotation increasing.

 

[Maxis_s]

Mister Nixon that screenshot is valid in 3 hours

 

[rushdude]

View attachment 42248
But where are those good old-fashioned chasers, on which we used to relyyyyyy

"You know, this reminds of that one time I went storm chasing with Reed Timmer"

 

[eep]

I'd argue there really hasn't been one - if we mean 3-5 or more strong to violent tornadoes, all in the daytime - since May 24, 2011.

Wynnewood outbreak from 2016 would verify as one I believe.

 

[WesL]

It has been a "HAILarious" day here in N.W. Arkansas.

 

[Jbop]

Those cells south of Wichita Falls TX looks concerning